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China’s ascent as a global power has long been recognized, driven by its economic growth, strategic initiatives, and expanding influence. However, the ongoing conflict in Ukraine has accelerated and solidified this rise in ways that could reshape the global order for decades to come. This article examines how the Ukraine war has not only reinforced China’s position but also highlighted shifts in global power dynamics, evidenced by Turkey’s recent formal request to join BRICS—a bloc where China plays a pivotal role. This move by Turkey underscores the growing recognition that the center of global power is shifting towards China and away from the traditional Western-dominated order.

1. China’s Pre-existing Ascent: Strategic Growth Before the War

China’s rise as a global power has been a long-term project, built on decades of rapid economic growth, industrial policy, and assertive foreign diplomacy. Initiatives like the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) have connected China with countries across Asia, Africa, and Europe, creating a vast network of trade routes, infrastructure projects, and investment opportunities. This has allowed China to extend its influence far beyond its borders, establishing itself as a central player in global affairs.

Even before the Ukraine war, China was steadily positioning itself as a counterbalance to Western power, particularly in regions like Africa and Southeast Asia. Its investments in infrastructure, energy, and technology have not only driven economic growth in these regions but also fostered political alliances that are crucial for China’s long-term strategic goals.

2. The Ukraine War: A Catalyst for Sino-Russian Relations

The Ukraine war has deepened the relationship between China and Russia, creating a geopolitical alignment that serves both nations’ interests. As Western sanctions isolated Russia, China emerged as a critical economic partner, providing Russia with a market for its energy exports and access to financial systems that bypass Western restrictions. This partnership, while not new, has grown stronger due to the war, with Russia becoming increasingly reliant on China for economic and diplomatic support.

This shift has effectively made China the senior partner in the Sino-Russian relationship, giving Beijing significant leverage over Moscow. This dynamic is particularly advantageous for China, as it reduces the likelihood of any future rivalry with Russia and ensures that China can count on Russia’s support in global forums and geopolitical conflicts.

3. Western Distraction and Resource Diversion

One of the most significant impacts of the Ukraine war on China’s rise is the diversion of Western resources and attention. The United States and its European allies have committed billions of dollars in military aid, humanitarian assistance, and economic support to Ukraine. While this support is crucial for Ukraine’s defense, it also means that the West’s focus and resources are heavily invested in Europe, leaving other strategic areas, such as China’s expansion, less scrutinized.

This diversion has allowed China to operate with relatively little resistance in other parts of the world. For example, China has intensified its efforts in Africa, Latin America, and Southeast Asia—regions where Western influence has historically been limited. By providing affordable infrastructure, technology, and investment, China is securing long-term economic ties and political influence, further entrenching its position as a global power.

4. Turkey’s Bid to Join BRICS: A Sign of Shifting Power Dynamics

The geopolitical realignment brought about by the Ukraine war is not limited to the Sino-Russian relationship. Turkey’s recent formal request to join BRICS—a bloc where China is a dominant member—highlights the broader shifts in global power dynamics. Historically aligned with NATO and the West, Turkey’s interest in BRICS signals its recognition that the global center of power is moving towards China and the emerging economies of the Global South.

Turkey’s bid to join BRICS can be seen as a strategic move to position itself closer to the new centers of power in a multipolar world. As the West remains focused on the conflict in Ukraine, countries like Turkey are exploring alternative alliances that better align with their economic and geopolitical interests. For Turkey, joining BRICS represents an opportunity to diversify its economic partnerships, gain access to new markets, and play a more significant role in global governance.

China, as a leading BRICS member, stands to benefit significantly from Turkey’s inclusion. Not only would it strengthen China’s influence within the bloc, but it would also provide China with a valuable partner in the strategically important Middle East and Eastern Europe regions. This move underscores China’s growing role as a global power broker, capable of shaping the future direction of international alliances and institutions.

5. Africa: A Strategic Frontier for China

Africa has become a crucial battleground for influence between China and the West, and the Ukraine war has only accelerated China’s dominance in the region. Before the war, China was already Africa’s largest trading partner, with trade volumes exceeding $300 billion annually. The war has further solidified China’s position in Africa, as Western powers have focused their attention and resources on Europe.

China’s investments in African infrastructure, energy, and technology have not only boosted trade but also secured access to critical resources, including rare earth minerals essential for green technology. As the West imposes tariffs and sanctions on Chinese goods, such as electric vehicles (EVs), China has strategically redirected these products to African markets. Companies like BYD, offering budget EVs priced between $16,000 and $17,000, are well-positioned to capture significant market share in Africa, further cementing China’s economic influence.

6. Control Over Global Supply Chains and Resources

The Ukraine war has also reinforced China’s control over global supply chains, particularly in critical sectors like rare earth minerals. These minerals are vital for the production of everything from smartphones to electric vehicles and military hardware. China’s dominance in the mining and processing of these materials gives it significant leverage over global supply chains, a position that has been strengthened as the war disrupts global trade.

With the BRICS nations increasingly aligning their economic policies, China is better positioned to control the pricing and distribution of these critical resources. This coordination could further undermine Western efforts to secure alternative sources of rare earth minerals, making it more difficult for the U.S. and Europe to reduce their reliance on Chinese supplies.

7. A Multipolar World: Geopolitical Realignment

The Ukraine war is contributing to a broader geopolitical realignment, one that could see the emergence of a multipolar world where China plays a central role. As the West and Russia become increasingly antagonistic, China is leveraging its position as a relatively neutral power to build alliances and partnerships with other nations, particularly in the Global South.

This realignment is evident in the growing cooperation between China and BRICS nations, as well as China’s deepening ties with countries like Turkey, Africa, and Southeast Asia. These regions, long marginalized in the Western-dominated global order, are increasingly looking to China for leadership and support. China’s ability to offer development aid, infrastructure investment, and technology transfer makes it an attractive partner for these nations, further solidifying its role as a global power.

Conclusion: The Ukraine War as a Reinforcement of China’s Global Power

While China’s rise as a global power was already well underway before the Ukraine war, the conflict has undoubtedly accelerated and cemented this process. By deepening its ties with Russia, expanding its influence in Africa and other developing regions, and strategically positioning itself as a leader in global supply chains and green technology, China is taking full advantage of the opportunities created by the war. The growing interest of countries like Turkey in joining BRICS further underscores the shifting center of global power towards China. As the West remains focused on countering Russia, China is quietly but decisively solidifying its place as a dominant global power, with implications that will shape the international order for decades to come.