Can the age of Automation Change How We Conduct Wars of Tomorrow?

Playing games like Total War: Attila got me thinking of strategies.  Obviously, keyboard commander here which is me got no real experience in this sort of things.  Still, I want to dig into this sort of things anyway.  So, I was thinking that since the Industrial Revolution, machines have allowed the world to be much smaller which has given way to faster communication, faster travel through hard to traverse arteries such as the vast ocean and so forth.  These monumental Industrial Revolution byproducts changed how the world conducted its wars, because before the Industrial Revolution wartime strategies had to account how much time it would take for something to be set up and executed.  Of course, in today world with advanced AI, Internet, Encryption, Quantum machines, and hypersonic missiles and so forth, we still have to account time as a necessary ingredient in wartime strategy.  So imagine how much more important it was for time to be an ingredient in wartime before the time of Industrial Revolution.  Nonetheless, I think we’re in the post-Industrial Revolution period now, because the age of Automation is upon us.

My question is, can the age of Automation change almost everything that represents the Industrial Revolution?  After all, we had witnessed how the age of Industrial Revolution changed things of the age before it, right?  In my opinion, I think the age of Automation will create and change things that will outdated if not all then most of the Industrial Revolution byproducts.  For an example, wartime strategies will have to be changed to fit with time in the age of Automation.

One thing for sure, in the age of Automation, time is an even more important ingredient than ever before, because everything will speed up so much faster.  Imagine the automation of Artificial Intelligence such as self-learning for machines that would speed up the intelligence of machines so these things can self-regulate and self-plan and self-execute directives according to common sense that the humans drill into these machines’ logic programs.  Well, I think since AlphaGo, self-learning AI has already actually happened.  In my opinion, self-learning AI may speed things up so much faster that may make human decisions in wartime seem to be outdated as if we’re comparing today supercomputer with the supercomputer of the 1970s.  Even better, we should use the analogy of quantum computing versus supercomputing of the 1970s.

As we achieve hypersonic technology to speed up the deliverance of weapons and travel modes, self-learning AI will be able to automate things at much faster pace than ever before physically.  Of course, this would force humans to have less time to plan than ever before when changes occur in wartime.  Unless us humans could predict the future, us humans may use self-learning AI to pre-plan possible scenarios of wartime changes to allow self-learning AI to be even faster in execution during a war.

Furthermore, self-learning AI could allow the automation of swarming tech to advance further.  Immagine a swarming of missiles that is capable of allowing each missile to be smart and carrying its own decoys.  The idea of blocking out the sun with swarming of smart missiles and decoys and at the same time preventing the negative chain reaction among the missiles could be very interesting indeed.  What could be automated in the air could also be automated in the sea, and so we could expect more of the same smart machines that would be self-driven to attack targets using the sea as the cover and a travel medium.

Weapons and AI could be categorized as the ingredients for tactical operations, but if one thinks bigger then one could see the accumulation of tactical events would paint a picture of strategy.  Over time, automation would replace the ways that we’re using to conduct a war in wartime.

It is normal for us to belittle continental powers of the past when they disregarded naval power even though some of these continental powers were faced with vast ocean fronts.  But we have to know that before the Industrial Revolution age the ocean was regarded as a natural barrier.  Some historic continental powers took such idea into comfort till disasters struck them down for good.

Some historic naval powers were overconfident with their naval strength and didn’t develop their land forces, allowing their only strength to be taken out by their smarten-up adversaries.  If I’m not wrong, the Phoenicians were a naval superpower but the Romans were not.  Of course, the Romans turned the tide against the Phoenicians when the Romans figured out how to build similar ships to the Phoenicians’ ones.  I think the Romans caught a sunken Phoenician ship on its shore and managed to reverse-engineer it to make copies.  Afterward, the Phoenicians were history.

In today world, I don’t think countries that border ocean would dare to favor land forces over naval forces or vice versa.  Why?  Natural barriers are no longer a big deal nowadays.  Nowadays we got technology that could go undersea, on the sea, on the land, over the land, invisibly in the air, and into space — think you can take any comfort in any natural barrier?  We could be doing all of these things in hypersonic speed in the very near future.  So I think it’s foolishly for any country to rely on outdated strategies of the past ages when such a country has to confront with possible adversaries in the age of Automation.

A country such as China is not only thinking about building up a modern naval force to protect the maritime silk road, but this country is also building up channels on land to tap into all possible solutions and scenarios.  Gone the day of Zheng He’s downfall when a new Chinese emperor thought maritime power was useless because he took the comfort of a natural barrier.  Could we afford to make the same mistakes today by relying on natural barriers and other misguided comforts?  I don’t think it’s wise to take any comfort in the age of Automation because I think even self-learning AI could be hacked into.  I’m pretty confident that wartime strategies for tomorrow will be way different than the past.

 

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Can Demonetization Help Boost Living Standard While Erasing Poverty At The Same Time?

Is it possible that in the near future almost everything will be demonetized?  Just recently I’d read a TheVerge headline “GM will make an autonomous car without steering wheel or pedals by 2019” which suggests automation in the auto industry is actually speeding up as we speak.  If this is “gonna” happen, it will be a fun ride for everyone in this industry to figure out how they will adjust to such a change.  Could demonetization come sooner for the auto industry?

Imagine, the cost of owning a car associated with the costs of related industries such as insurance may add up more than just owning a self-driving car.  If this is the case, then a self-driving car can actually help bring down the costs of having to own a car.  It seems if we can automate car driving, why not every other mode of transportation?  Such ambition may drive and demonetize the costs of almost every mode of transportation that will be available in the near future.

I was just recently pulled over by the police for crossing a green light when another car also was trying to cross the intersection.  It was a weird thing for me.  Near the highway, there is a small opening which divides the left turn section that leads out to the main highway.  The light is green, but the traffic got stuck ahead of me.  I stopped at the green light to leave an opening for the other car to drive through, but this car couldn’t or wouldn’t want to drive through.

The traffic ahead suddenly moved forward and so I’d decide to either hold up the rest of the traffic behind me while the light is green so this one car could go through eventually or just move forward so the traffic from behind me could flow forward.  Unfortunately, this car seemed to be doing nothing as the traffic behind me on the right kept on moving forward as the light is green.  So I decided to move forward onto the main highway in my left-turn lane so I wouldn’t hold back the traffic behind me.  Unfortunately, a police car behind me pulled me over for doing I thought what would be best.  In the end, I told him I didn’t know what to do in such a scenario, and so the police just gave me a verbal warning.

I was lucky to not get a huge traffic ticket bill for the incident.  While driving back home I revisited the GM self-driving car announcement for 2019 in my head, and from within I knew I couldn’t wait for this whole self-driving car to become a reality.  Basically, I think the self-driving car could help clear me in such situation immediately.  Imagine the reaction of the police when they pull you over because your self-driving car got no steering wheel.

If they write a ticket, would it be billed to GM or to the insurance company?  Will GM provide insurance for the self-driving car or you have to buy one even though you won’t be driving the car yourself?  One thing for sure though, when the self-driving car makes mistakes, you know for sure you aren’t responsible for the mistakes.  In my earlier scenario, I guess the police wouldn’t even care to give out a verbal warning if the self-driving car was making the decision right?  Or the police can just write a citation to GM so GM would tweak their self-driving car software better, right?

As the video above suggests that demonetization for almost everything might become the reality of the future as more things are going to be evermore abundant as long we know how to generate energy near zero cost and whatnot.  The efficiency of renewable energy is going to be a very important factor in helping a futuristic demonetization society.

Furthermore, if demonetization isn’t in a future deck of cards, then we may see a lot of troubles ahead.  How come?  Imagine more automation can only be sped up as we speak because of competition from China and other countries that got a lot of demands for keeping their industries stay competitive.  The chain reaction of speeding up automation from abroad may greatly speed up automation at home.  The widespread of automation will speed up in taking out the human element in the workforce as time rolls on.  As more humans lose jobs to AI robots and other AI machines, I think demonetization will help us somewhat solve the problem of poverty as joblessness may become a widespread problem in the future.

China Moves Fast Into The Future With Self-Driving Buses In Shenzhen.

A few days ago, a taxi man engaged me in a conversation.  He asked if I was ubering someone because he saw me was waiting near his spot.  I told him I was not and was only waiting for a friend.  The conversation carried on to the point in which he confessed Uber has taken away too many customers from him.  He told me once he was making something like thousands of dollars in a week, but now this is pretty much gone.

I didn’t want to make him feel worse, and so I kept my mouth shut about automation.  Basically, China is heading this way.  More self-driving buses are now out and about in Shenzhen, China.  Check out the video on this right after the break.

I think even whoever relies on Uber for driving customers around will eventually lose out to self-driving Uber cars.  In fact, I can even imagine up some self-driving car services such as self-driving taxi cabs will be able to mimic a human touch by installing smart, sexy robots that can pretend to drive but could carry on a real conversation with the human customers.

I think the future is all about automation.  I think this trend will speed up fast.  I think people will lose jobs to automation for sure.

China rolls out Unmanned Retail Stores

It took thousands of years for humankind to develop metal wings so we could fly like a bird which is so free in the sky, but it took humankind only few more years to fire all grocery helpers, bus drivers, taxicab drivers, truck drivers, pilots, restaurant helpers, some firemen, some nurses and doctors, some cooks, and whatnot.  Why and how?  Automation baby!  Here is a clue, check out the video right after the break to see new unmanned grocery stores that are going to be popping out all over the place in China.

These stores are still in testing phrase, but they’re ready as real grocery stores since real people are actually buying stuffs there.  These stores don’t need any helper, because everything is automated.  The key is your smartphone!  Customers can sign up with the store by scanning the QR code through their smartphone, and then they can proceed to shop within the store.  Once they see something they like, they can scan quickly scan the items at the scanner and pay through smartphone’s QR code scanning.  This bypasses the cashier process altogether.  This also bypasses the need to hire a grocery helper, security guard, and whatnot.

In the video I see some people are holding doors for others to come into the store.  I can imagine a scenario when a person who has not yet signed up with the store but got inside it and try to walk out the store with whatever items they want to steal.  One problem though, the store won’t open the door for a shoplifter, and thus security is sound.  If the person has already signed up with the store, it doesn’t matter if he or she has to be scanned from the door to get inside, because the cameras would scan all customers once they’re inside and when they’re trying to get out of the store.  Anyhow, I wonder will someone be able to hack the system and get away with stuffs like an uncaught shoplifter.

Short Thought: Can Labor Cost And Related Costs Speed Up Automation And Artificial Intelligence To Out Compete Competitors?

Here are few sentences that I want to express in short thought on the matter of automation/AI.  I think labor cost and other costs that impose on innovation, manufacturing, and whatnot would speed up automation and artificial intelligence a great deal, because countries such as the United States would like to outdo countries such as China in term of trade and other economic factors.  For your information, I think as now China still has labor cost advantage over the United States.  I see though that the United States could try really hard to push for automation and artificial intelligence, because in this way the United States can gain a competitive edge in trade such as in labor cost and whatnot.  Nonetheless, if I’m China, I would do the same, and this vicious cycle would only speed up automation and artificial intelligence.  I don’t have a crystal ball, but I think we may live in the future sooner than we would have like or prepare for.  Furthermore, automation and artificial intelligence will only increase job losses, but it will take a much longer time for people to find new jobs.  After all, getting a new job in a totally different field requires retraining and relearn.  Before you know it, the whole world will try to push for automation and artificial intelligence.  It’s coming sooner than you think!

Asia’s First, If Not The World’s First, Fully Automated Container Terminal In Port Of Qingdao, China

As of late, people all over the world are taking notice how China has become a leader in the port industry.  For an example, in 2016, August 10th, if I got the date right, Chinese shipping group, China Ocean Shipping Company (Cosco), completed the majority purchase of Greece’s Piraeus port.  Since then, Cosco has turned Piraeus into one of the leading ports in the world.  Just now, China is taking its port business into the next level by turning a terminal at Port of Qingdao into a fully automated container terminal.  This means no human involvement is needed on most of the port container activities at this terminal.  Well, you get a better idea if you watch the video right after the break.

As China is continuing to automate its industries, I wonder how will they cope with more unemployment.  On business level though, things will be a lot more efficient in productivities and costs, but at what costs to the traditional social values such as full employment?  Of course, certain traditional social values can always be updated or let go, but employment is one of the things that help put foods on the table for a modern fellow.  Without employment, one would go hungry pretty fast or whatever a bad case that would be.

With roughly 1.4 billion plus population, if I’m not off on the number, China would be in big trouble if so many people won’t be able to find jobs.  Automation will definitely create unemployment problem to be even more acute than ever before.  Right now though, opportunities seem to be abundant in China still, because even some foreigners are leaving their home countries to travel to China for job opportunities.  Nonetheless, once automation becomes evermore prevalent in China, I wonder how the opportunity picture in China would form.  I can see the applications of automation will make China be evermore competitive in many global industries.  In this case it would be all about the port/shipping industry.