Is China Preparing To Go To War Against The United States?

If the United States sanctions North Korea and China won’t go along, I think it’s normal.  If the United States sanctions North Korea and China pretends to go along, I also think it’s normal.  If the United States sanctions North Korea and China is going along with the plan, I don’t think it’s normal!  In fact, I think something big is about to happen.  

We all know China doesn’t want North Korea to be united with South Korea in fear of a South Korea’s victory, allowing the United States to be ever closer to China’s border.  Plus, North Korea got nuclear weapons and China is nervous about the aftermath of such weapons.  For an example, such weapons could be launched from North Korea into China by a force that is no longer friendly to China.  A collapse of North Korean regime could create chaos which allows an opportunity for whoever to launch nuclear warheads into China and avoid the blame at the same time.  Basically, in chaos, you can avoid taking the blame for launching nuclear warheads because you can just argue that wasn’t you and it was somebody else that went crazy during the chaos (i.e., inside North Korea).  China definitely doesn’t want this to happen, ever!

There are many other reasons why China rather has North Korea stays poor, weak, and friendly.  Isn’t it obvious?  Remember the Korean war in the 1950s?  China didn’t have to help North Korea out but they did waste roughly a quarter of a million men in the Korean War to make sure North Korea stayed North Korean.  Why did the Chinese spill so much blood for another country?  I think it was all about strategic calculation on the Chinese part.  Nowadays, even though China is a global superpower and no longer dirt poor, Chinese still thinks North Korea got some values as a weak, friendly state to China.  For obvious reasons I mentioned plus much more.

So, when the Chinese begin to go along with the American sanction scheme to try to collapse the North Korean regime economically, I think it’s something big that is about to be happening.  Let me guess.  I think if China is willing to help the Americans sanction North Korea, this means China is ready to go to war against the United States!  Why?

I think China wants to look good by going along with the United States’ sanction scheme on North Koreans and to win more friends in near term.  Secretly though, I think China is preparing for the day in which China has to attack the United States in North Korea.  For all the reasons I mentioned and if I’m not wrong, China is willing to go to war against the United States, thus China didn’t care to gain some favorable points with the world before North Korean chaos breaks out.

Since China is North Koreans’ main economic lifeline, it’s obvious that Korean regime may collapse if China is really going to sanction North Koreans, for real this time.  If North Korea is about to collapse, North Korea could try to launch an attack on South Korea.  If South Korea gets attacked, the United States would help South Korea defends against the North.  If the North is losing, Chinese will come in again to push the South and the United States back.  This time though, things could get way more catastrophic.  In short, I think that the Chinese think it’s imperative for them to come to the North Koreans’ aid to keep the United States and South Korea away from the Chinese border.

My suspicion is that China is ready to go to war against the United States, and so China doesn’t mind about following the United States’ lead on sanctioning North Korea for real this time — to gain points with the world and to surprise the United States.  After all the United States would have thought that China would only do a weak sanction on North Korea.  Nonetheless, the news has that China orders Chinese businesses to stop dealing with North Koreans and so forth.  Other hard Chinese sanctions are about to or already put in place against the North Koreans. 

I think when North Korea’s economy is completely destroyed, North Korea will attack South Korea.  I think North Korea only got an economy anyway because of China.  So, when North Korea attacks South Korea, the aftermath would be pure chaos.  Of course, there is also a possibility that China invades North Korea to secure nuclear weapons and control North Korea.  This way, the North Koreans still could be a buffer between China and South Korea/United States.

If China invades North Korea, China wouldn’t want the United States to be anywhere near North Korea’s 38th parallel border because China wants to take control of North Korea.  So, if in such chaos and the United States pushes for North Korea control, the United States may as well attack China.  I think this scenario would start a WWIII.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/north-korean-firms-china-ordered-close-january-114245591.html

Screen Shot 2017-09-29 at 11.10.59 PM

Advertisements

United States’ Allies Think Getting Closer To China

With not a single thread of evidence to back up my logic, but I have a feeling that United States’ allies such as Japan are thinking about getting closer to China.  At first, for an example, Japan would probably pretend to be against China, and Japan wants to use China as a ploy to break free from the United States.  Thus Japan probably wants to boost its own military programs and break free from pacifying position.  Once Japan completes this step, it would want to befriend China, and United States would probably be too hesitant to aggravate a stronger Japan.

I think as China grows stronger and more influential, United States’ allies would use Beijing as a hedge against the United States in trades, deals, bargains, and etc…

What can the United States do?  Unless the United States wants to start a trade war and hot war with China, there isn’t much the United States can do to change allied countries’ trajectories.  I fear such trajectories are all about getting closer to China.  After all, China got the largest middle-class market in the world.  With hefty foreign exchange reserves in trillions of dollars and a growing military power to back China’s overall growing strength, China isn’t going to be bullied by the United States.  United States’ allies know this too, and so they would try to be nice to China just in case they are on the wrong side of the United States.

In conclusion, I don’t think the United States can be too nice to allied countries because these countries are still going to use China as a hedge.  Being too mean to allies, the United States would lose such allies.  Be too tough on China, the United States would force allied countries to choose a side, and they may choose China over the United States.  As long China is humming along in growing strength, I don’t see how easily the United States could contain China.  Of course, nothing would go as plan, and so China may face a difficult future, and that is when the United States could try to contain China.  The question is, how far the United States would want to contain China, because doing it wrong may as well starting a WWIII.

After WWIII, long live sticks and stones!

Maybe, here is a preview of how Japan is getting closer to China.  https://www.yahoo.com/news/m/c53528a3-d7ae-3e05-9851-6dc8daefac8c/ss_pm-abe-celebrates-anniversary.html

Screenshot:

Screen Shot 2017-09-29 at 6.11.01 PM

We Should Heed Chinese Minister of Foreign Affair’s, Wang Yi, Call For Diplomacy In Regarding To Tension Between the United States and North Korea

A rumor has that China has moved around 150,000 troops to the border of North Korea.  Meanwhile, a Chinese minister of foreign affair, Wang Yi, has warned both the United Sates and North Korea to not start a war on Korean Peninsula, and he also said all sides will lose if this to occur.  Wang Yi is one of those top 7, if I’m not wrong, people who are directly taking orders right underneath Chinese president Xi Jin ping.  His words are to be taken seriously, and so it’s going to be foolish to believe that China isn’t going to protect North Korea from an attack.  Lately, online and offline news have surmised that China would help the United States to take out North Korea, but I think these news are too optimistic.  I believe that China would use North Korea as a proxy war to drag the United States in once the North Korea war gets going.

United States’ arm forces are spreading thin throughout the world.  Russia is tempting to expand further West while China is going to expand further in South and East China Seas.  A war with North Korea will be expensive for the United States, because it won’t be a quick war unless the United States uses nuclear weapons.  Nonetheless, once a nuclear missile from the West flies toward the East, Russia and China would quick to release theirs toward the West, because they won’t trust the United States’ true targets.  This means a nuclear war could happen if a nuke starts to fly off in any direction.  Invading North Korea through ground forces requires the United States to persuade ally countries to go along, and the war will be very expensive.  Furthermore, if not careful, North Korea war this time could be a repeat of Viet Nam war in which the North would eventually swallow the South.

The United States still has Afghanistan, Syria, and several other places to be worried about, and so adding North Korea to the plate in a time in which the United States is still trying to fix her economy is rather worrisome.  Although China isn’t favoring the North Korea position in regarding North Korea’s nuclear development, but China hates to see the South swallows the North even more.  This means China would aid North Korea once again once the war starts.  In the long run, I think China is going to use the United States to push North Korea to abandon nuclear development and nuclear weapons altogether in exchange for China’s protection.  If I’m not wrong, I think China’s position is very clear, because China is strategically regarding North Korea as a buffer between the United States and South Korea.  If I’m not wrong, a war with North Korea in our time will pull China into a war against the United States like it had happened in the 1950s (Korean War).

South Korea should be very worried, because once missiles start flying, North Korea will pour down South and try to repeat the Korean War.  Basically, North Korea is a very poor country, and so it got nothing to lose.  South Korea is a very rich country, and so it got everything to protect.  This time with modern weapons, things can be so much worse.  Chinese minister of foreign affair, Wang Yi, in the video right after the break warns both the United States and North Korea in not starting a war on Korean Peninsula.

Why The United States Fears Russia More Than China?

As president-elect Donald Trump may prepare to make peace with Russia, other forces within the United States are clearly against this adventure.  Since president-elect Trump has yet to take office, and so us normal folks would not know what will be the concrete relationship between United States and Russia.  If Russia will not truly warm up to the idea of making lasting peace with the United States, we may see a more confrontational approach between these two powerful countries.

I think many powerful people in the United States fear that Russia may become too powerful again to the point in which Russia can once again expand into areas that were once Soviet Union’s territories.  If Russia decides to do such a thing in the near future, a real conflict between NATO and Russia could very well play out in real time.  NATO is being watchful of Russia, and so NATO’s troops are not too far from Russia’s border.

United States is also worrying about China’s military expansion.  Basically, the expansions of Russia and China at the same time could mean big trouble for the United States.  If NATO gets weaken, Russia would expand and allow China to be more aggressive in South and East China Seas.

Since Russia can never rely on the United States’ friendship, Russia tends to move closer to China for obvious benefits such as economic and military ties.  Furthermore, Russia would not want to make China angry as China is right across Russia border.  I don’t think Putin wants to see China’s soldiers in millions pouring across the China/Russia’s border.  China and Russia are both nuclear armed countries, and so the notion of allowing the conflict to get to the point of confrontation is definitely not very wise.

Meanwhile, president-elect Donald Trump may want to make nice with Russia in hoping that Russia could play nicer in the near future.  This way NATO won’t have to be so active, and president-elect Donald Trump could have more freedom to deal with China alone.  Nonetheless, Europe would be very worried since Russia’s president Putin could be very unpredictable.  Nobody would know if Russia would never do another Georgia invasion into a NATO’s member country.  If president-elect Donald Trump isn’t careful enough, NATO’s member countries could take matter into their own hands and create the situation much worse.

If Russia is going to have a real conflict with NATO, the United States must come to the defense of NATO’s member countries.  This means the United States could not play nice with Russia.  Meanwhile, China is looking to push the United States out of the China Seas.  Furthermore, Russia is not feeling easy as NATO’s forces are too close to Russia’s border.  Basically, the United States if not treads carefully could face two fronts stemming from Russia and China.  If this to happen, the United States will have a tougher time to plan and carry out defensive measures against such confrontations.

Check out the fictional event in the video right after the break where Russia and NATO could face off in a real confrontation scenario.  Although the video is fiction, I have to warn you that it’s very realistic.  Watching this video may give you a sense of what might happen if Russia and NATO begin to fight each other.

Can Offshore Balancing Be More Realistic For The United States’ Foreign Relations?

Although the United States’ old grand strategy was almost forgotten since the fallen of the Soviet Union, but after so many unfinished businesses around the world such as in Afghanistan and elsewhere the United States may have to revisit an old grand strategy which is known as offshore balancing.  According to Stephen Walt in the video right after the break, he suggests that the United States would be better off in foreign relations in applying offshore balancing for foreign relation building.  Offshore balancing may save the United States from overspending in foreign policy matters, but offshore balancing isn’t discouraging in building healthy relations with foreign powers.  Perhaps, if offshore balancing is done right, the United States may have even more friends than enemies while building a stronger nation at home.  Anyhow, I guess no known strategy is invulnerable to everything, and so offshore balancing may not always be best for certain situations.  In my opinion, Stephen Walt does sound very convincing in his argument that the offshore balancing may help the United States navigates the evermore dangerous globe in a more efficient and healthier manner.

Besides South China Sea, United States Is Now Facing A China Which Just Joined Up With Bashar al-Assad’s Regime In Syria

An ocean away, the Atlantic that is, and so I kind of being ignorant to what is really going on in the Middle East.  Still, I’m surprised to see China is now sending military advisers to Syria so China can aid Bashar al-Assad in fighting against the rebels and other extremists.  Meanwhile, Russia is bombing the extremists (i.e., ISIS/ISIL) in Syria from Iran’s military airbase.  Putting these facts together, it’s now clear that China is joining in to help Russia, Iran, and Syria in fighting against the rebels and extremists that are trying to collapse Bashar al-Assad’s government.  Lately though, it seems that the ISIS/ISIL forces are being scattered and being stamped out of Syria, because Russia is still stepping up to drive these forces out of Syria.

Since China’s economy keeps on growing, it needs energy supplies such as oil from the Middle East to secure Chinese future, and so China is going against one of the creeds that China has always held dear most — which is not to interfere with internal matters of another country or region.  Furthermore, China is looking to realize the grand plan of connecting Europe and  everything in between to China through the One Belt One Road (or Silk Road) initiative/project.  With such a grand plan, China needs the Middle East to calm down much more to ensure the safety of the people, companies, and whatever that are involving in developing and realizing the grand Silk Road project.

Since China is now slowly forming a coalition with Russia and Iran, I wonder how Europe is going to react to this.  China is key in Russia’s plan, because China is a very big business partner of most countries in Europe.  The United States may have her plate full from now on, because Europe could decide to be less helpful to the United States since China is now joining in the Middle East’s mess.  If things keep on getting escalating, I think Europe would have less appetite in seeing business with China goes sour, because we’re talking about peace and prosperity in long term here.  Still, Europe could also decide to help the United States fight against China/Russia/Iran coalition, because Europe has a special relationship with the United States.

Whatever the case, it’s bad for the United States, because the United States is still supporting the rebels — who are trying to collapse the government of Bashar al-Assad’s regime.  Check out the video right after the break to see the news on China joined up with Bashar al-Assad’s regime to fight off ISIS/ISIL and the rebels.