In this day and age, 21st Century to be exact, conflicts around the world are never going to be simple. Heck, even in the ancient time, the conflicts then were not so simple. Now, we have so many countries that are doing overlapping business, because there is so called a chain of supply this and that. For an example, United States imports from China most, China relies on neighbors and far West for technology and raw materials to produce stuffs for United States, and countries such as Australia love to sell energy products to China to support the supply chains in China. Obviously, the example I mentioned is to be simplistic, because China is not only exporting goods to United States, but China is exporting to the whole world at large. United States is obviously not only importing from China, but United States is importing from the whole world at large. Still, the whole world is importing from China most! The last sentence does implicit a weakness of globalization. It begs the question what if China’s supply chains are in trouble, what will the implications be for the world’s economics at large. It’s not so simple to just say that my country will become self sufficient immediately. Any country can’t just magically wave a wand in the air, and then the technology and infrastructure and various vocations of expertise — that take decades to build — suddenly and magically materialize for whatever production purposes. The complexity of the world nowadays begs the question that even small conflict can put any country which depends on the world’s economics in a very uncomfortable position, especially in economics sense.
I think one thing people fail to realize is that nuclear factor is even more important as a war deterrent for world peace than ever before. Although some of us probably have wished that humankind should have never been able to figure out the nuclear technology, thus nuclear would never have existed. Nonetheless, such wish is rather foolish since nuclear age has been here for a while already. This is why nuclear weapons have been employed by various countries for deterrent purposes. Nuclear weapons are not a figment of the imagination for a long time already!!! Countries that have nuclear weapons know this, thus these countries use nuclear weapons as war deterrent strategic maneuver. It’s a very effective war deterrent strategy indeed! With this knowledge, we can see that United States, China, India, Pakistan, Russia, UK, France, Israel, and North Korea cannot be invaded outright. The big three countries that for sure cannot be invaded outright are United States, China, and Russia. Why these three countries have the power to fully destabilize the world or prolong the world peace? Simply put, their military, economic, and world influence mights ensure their power to dictate world order! Smaller countries, with nuclear technology or not, cannot compete or go head to head with United States, China, and Russia. Of course, there is always something that is not on people’s mind and yet will be the exception of whatever rigid order. In today’s world balance, for United States, China, and Russia to go to war against one another, the exceptional culprit behind this global catastrophe would be a psychopath with powerful positions that can manipulate a country’s foreign policy.
Although the big three in the world will not wage war against one another outright, but they can definitely use their smaller allies to wage proxy wars. This is why we, people with brain, know that small conflicts around the world might not be so simple. I can safely assume that all conflicts nowadays are a sort of game for the big three to push and pull against one another, and so in the end of the day the winners will always be the big three! In short term though, the players who gain something in whatever conflict that the big three are manipulating can also be said that they’re the winners, too. Nonetheless, in the end of the day, they might not be the ultimate winners! This is why, I think we, the people of the world, should be more informed, open minded, and less judgmental, and only in this way we can see the events that break out around the world with clearer sense.
In conclusion, United States, China, and Russia know they will not benefit in an all out war, but they’re more profitable in term of controlling the events of the world. This is why I think the ongoing chaos in East and South China seas, Ukraine, and the Middle East are small events that will dictate the world influence of the big three! In these events, the big three cannot claim their innocent! Nonetheless, the big three are acting in their own interest, because the big three after all have to lookout for their own people. It’s just unfortunate that the smaller players in the world stage have to be manipulated by the big three! Of course, nobody knows how the world map will look like in the future, thus we can never say that the big three we have now will be the big three of 300 years later. Remember Roman Empire? Remember how big they were in ancient time? If I’m not wrong, they’re no longer here since AD 476. That’s a long time ago. Let just say that, the big three are not invulnerable, but at the moment and years to come, these are the players that make the world spins. At the moment, Ukraine crisis is just another event that the big three are positioning themselves for their own future! Unfortunately, the West and Ukraine itself will have to be manipulated by the big three! Russia is looking to gain the most in Ukraine crisis, and Russia does have the popular vote as Crimea’s people are voting for Russia. China is not yet making a hard stand for Ukraine crisis since it’s playing a waiting game. Meanwhile, United States is anxiously preventing Russia from annexing Crimea. Who’s right? Who’s wrong? It’s hard to tell, because the big three are never innocent! Nonetheless, I hope after Ukraine crisis, the world will be more peaceful, however Ukraine crisis will turn out to be! Let’s not see someone is so stupid enough to push for World War III, OK? As Albert Einstein had said something along this line, he knew we will have to use nuclear weapons in World War III, but he suggested that we might fight with sticks and stones in World War IV. It’s a long conclusion, I know!