Inescapable World – Ticking Time Bomb Of Uncertanties

In chess, there are circumstances that you could force your enemy into a position of no escape, and of course, if the enemy seizes the opportunity first then you would be the one who could not escape the trap.  It could be your king which is the most important piece on the board to be forced into a position of retreating into a trap and cannot escape.  I think it’s the same for bigger picture as in a national circumstance.

When a country got too many friends to please, too many problems to be solved, too many places to keep the peace, then it’s a lot harder for such a country to be able to be nimble and flexible.  Without nimbleness and flexibility, stiffness could creep in and force a country into many weird positions that are unfavorable.  Too many unfavorable positions could push such a country into a subtle death trap which eventually envelopes into the inescapable trap!

Then again we could also argue that when a nation is a hermit, it’s easier for others to gang up on such a nation.  In today world, when there are so many powers that aspire to be more than what they’re yesterday, I think it’s a ticking timebomb of uncertainties.  Like if you do you’re damned and if you don’t you’re damned still.

For an example, let’s say a fictitious country named Carol is making a lot of friends, and she knows that she hates Bob, the hermit, a lot.  Bob though, he would love to inflict real damage on Carol, but he doesn’t have any friend to help him out in doing such a thing against Carol.  Friends of Carol got a friend who is the only reluctant, casual friend of Bob, and they know this friend, for some strange reasons, doesn’t want Carol and Bob to have any confrontation.  Let’s say Bob tried to tickle Carol in the most grotesque way, and Carol went on a rampage against Bob.  Friends of Carol suddenly didn’t want to have anything to do with the whole madness, because Bob got a friend that prevented others from involving with Carol and Bob.  But then this Bob’s mysterious friend suddenly teamed up with Bob to take Carol down.  Now, Carol’s friends got a problem, because they don’t know if they should side with Carol or Bob’s mysterious friend!

Let’s say Carol and Bob both thought that they would be able to outsmart the other, but perhaps one of them didn’t know that a string of scenarios that came before and after their ugly feud could turn one of them into a mouse that got trapped in a rat trap.  The inescapable trap is definitely easier to imagine for today’s geopolitical matter I think!  Why?  Too many countries got their own ambitions to worry about, and so they are making friends and enemies left and right all the time.  Just take a look at Syria and various parts of the Middle East and we could see that sometimes we couldn’t know who is a friend and who is an enemy anymore — of course, it’s also depending on which side you’re on too!

Sometimes though, I think sitting pretty and only making move when it’s prudent and safe would keep a nation safe for a long time to come in a world like ours today!  Why?  The one who sits out the longest would be the victorious one in the end!  I think it’s smart to save up energy and resources — while making gains in both energy and resources when you’re in a favorable position — for the right time!  Of course, if you’re being forced into an unfavorable position, then sitting out may not be possible in the end.  That would be unfortunate for sure.

We Can Marry Democratic And Authoritarian Values Into One!

The above video tries to explore the idea of marrying Democracy and Meritocracy values into one system.  In real life, currently, we do not have a system in which both values could be incorporated in a balance manner.  For an example, in the West, Democracy is being valued more, thus the systems lean toward mediocre leaders with greatest popularity.  In the East, the opposite case mostly occurs.  Still, there probably are situations that smooth sailing does occur for the West, and bad sailing does occur for the East.  This is a luck and bad luck happenstances.  For an example, the people in the West might just pick the best leaders by chance, thus the system could be run by the most popular leaders who are not mediocre.  In the East, bad luck could occur, thus the system could have corrupted, mediocre leaders who hold the positions of power and don’t want to relinquish such powerful positions — thus they become unpopular for sure.

The luck and bad luck happenstances are the unexpected elements, thus these things are beyond the control of the system.  What people want are the system that can be configured in a way that ensures the highest chance of electing the best leaders that could run the country in the best manner if possible.  Unfortunately, electing is more of a popularity contest than electing the best leaders.  Why?  Election is about who got more votes, and thus in theory anyone could be running for a position to get votes.  Strangers vote for each other — it’s more about who appears to be the most competence gets the popularity — thus getting the position.  In the Meritocracy system, a pretender who could keep the act together might also appear to be competence, thus fooling the previous leaders who vouch for his or her promotion.  Still, the Meritocracy system is built to ensure the highest chance of picking leaders according to meritocracy values.

When marrying Democracy with Meritocracy, we’re running into a direct conflict.  Democracy encourages the priority of voting while Meritocracy encourages the priority of strictly observing/testing before a promotion.  Thus, in reality we don’t see any system which distributes equal powers to Democracy and Meritocracy.  In China, I think some local regions do have elections, but it’s obviously one party state — so there is no true election at the very top.  So the true dilemma is how are we marrying the Democracy and Meritocracy together?

I have an idea!  Why don’t we have a constitution that ensures a house of Democracy which governs by election, but the house of Democracy is there to examine the performances of the most popular leaders who had gotten the positions through the voting process.  After the leaders’ terms are up, they need to be either promoted to longer term positions according to their performance-report-cards, but if their performances are poor they could be demoted or even be impeached.  Once they got promoted to longer term positions they could move into the house of Meritocracy.  Still, even once they reach the house of Meritocracy, more examinations must be done to ensure that the leaders within the house of Meritocracy are truly excellent.  If they’re just pretending to be excellent at their jobs, they could still be impeached within the house of Meritocracy.

Well, I think the idea I suggest above could be tested out for the case of marrying Democracy and Meritocracy together.  It’s like the people got to participate in a popularity contest before the real leaders could eventually be recognized.  Such a system does provide layers of examinations of our leaders so they could not take it easy and get so corrupted such as becoming lazy in serving people, involving in corruptions and scandals, and so forth.  What do you think?

My Thought On Presidential Election of 2016

In a democracy like the United States, a leader who got too many baggages like Hillary Clinton, you lose, because the United States loves the underdog.  In authoritarian state such as in China, a leader can win according to how specialize and how large the experience he or she has.  I think Hillary Clinton lost the White House to president elect Donald Trump, because she represents a dynasty.  The people in the United States are always looking out for fresher ideas that may give them hope, and president elect Donald Trump is definitely something that a majority people of the United States are going for.  Of course, it’s hard to say how well would president elect Donald Trump run against someone else.  It’s now clear that Hillary Clinton isn’t going to be the next president as she represents the Clinton dynasty.

Before Donald Trump is a clear known winner of the presidential election, a lot people were and probably still are against him.  Will he be able to bring those people onto his side in the coming years?  If president elect Donald Trump won’t be able to bring the oppositions to work with him, we may very well have another four or eight years of divisions within the United States.  Since the United States is a home to so many different groups of ethnicities and cultures, I fear divisions within will bring down the United States even more.  I hope that our next president will be able to unite the people so the United States won’t degrade.  After all, what people need most are security and wealth building opportunities, because these things will improve people lives.

Why Are The Chinese Flourishing Under An Authoritarian Regime?

Why isn’t the Chinese government allowing the Chinese to elect the country’s leaders and yet China is still flourishing?  Western people like us are often wondering why this is the case.  Some people from the United States and other western states have believed that once the Chinese are wealthier, they would demand a full blown democracy sort of governmental regime.  Nonetheless, I think this sort of belief is kind of make believe.

Chinese history had recorded many Chinese historical dynasties that were able to provide prosperity that had no equal in historical time periods, and so the ancient Chinese were able to flourish and get wealthy in all sorts of manners.  Yet, in those time, the Chinese were all ruled by a king or an emperor.  The modern Chinese regime is similar yet different than the past dynasties in several ways.

Basically, the modern Chinese regime is an authoritarian body, because the Chinese cannot elect their leaders.  This is very similar to how past ancient dynasties had ruled China.  Nonetheless, Chinese modern regime is different than the past ancient Chinese regimes/dynasties in a sense that Chinese modern leaders are not likely to be able to pass their positions down to their children as if their positions could be inherited.  Instead, there is a process within one party system that would weed out the bad and pick the good to govern an institution within China.  Nonetheless, this process is very similar to how the ancient Chinese dynasties had done in promoting meritocracy.

Anyway, as historical periods in China has shown us that the Chinese can unite and operate just fine under one party system, and so we in the West should not expect China to emulate the Western democratic systems.  Nobody knows the future, perhaps China may emulate the West in the future, but in my opinion I don’t think this will likely to occur at all.  Instead, I think China would still be one party state in foreseeable future, and yet the Chinese will be able to flourish in this particular environment.

G20 In China: Performances For The Leaders

World leaders of most powerful 20 countries are in China for G20.  China isn’t playing around when it hosts the G20 for the first time.  Thus, in Hangzhou, China displays awesome performances to welcome the leaders of the countries that are attending the G20.  Check out the performances in the video right after the break.

Chaos Will Ensue If Internal Issues Cannot Be Solved

If a country is weakening, internal and external problems will exacerbate.  When internal issues cannot be addressed, chaos ensues, and this in turn weakens the external defensive measures.  Internal chaos can open up a hole which may allow external forces to infiltrate.  At first, benign problems may occur such as immigration, but the longer a country stays weaken, the problems will only grow worse and may lead to even more problems.

A weak country may lose resources in protecting one’s border.  As a border becomes lawless, crimes from neighboring countries will pour in.  As foreign criminals take root in a weakened country, such a country will have to deploy even more resources to combat growing crimes.  Since the country is already internally weakened, resources will not be easily deployed, and so the internal issues won’t be effectively confronted.

The longer the country cannot address internal issues, the influences and abilities of such a country can only grow weaker, because external forces will most likely to attack the weaknesses of such a country.  In my opinion, if diplomacy cannot be used to solve external issues in near term, it’s wiser to address the internal issues immediately.  Only when internal issues are no longer the problems, then the country can confidently face external issues with more resolves.

Afterthought:  I think it’s very important to keep the border tight, and only allowing legal immigrants to apply for stays within a country.  Tight border can prevent foreign crimes to pour in, thus helping a country to save resources for other internal issues.