Will The World Be Ruled By One Emperor In The Near Future?

Is it totally insane to think that we will witness another personality which is similar to Genghis Khan, Hitler, and the likes in the future?  What will happen if such a personality once again be in charge of a formidable country in the future?  If you have lived long enough to see enough, then by now you probably think that anything is possible as long it does not go against the laws of physics.  Some of the things that Hollywood came up with actually had already happened or in transition to become reality.  For an example, touch screen and holographic technologies.  Other more fantastic Hollywood imagination might become reality as long these imagination are in the agreement with the laws of physics.  With knowing that anything is possible within the limit of laws of physics, I don’t think it’s insane to think that there will be another Genghis Khan, Hitler, and the likes.

Technology has already shrunk the world by a lot, because people are so easily connected to each other through plethora means of communication and transportation.  Internet and airplane are the two examples of these means.  As it is now, the world is like one big home.  In a big home, an insane family member can cause a lot of troubles for the rest of the family.  Imagine, in a big home with Hitler as a family member, the troubles won’t be small.  Thus, a smaller, connected world, in my opinion, is a big incentive for a formidable country to once again reviving the spirit of go out and conquering, colonizing, and enslaving more subjects (i.e., countries).  With this notion, I think it is not that silly to think there will be a country, somebody that will drive his or her country to conquer the whole world, turning the whole world into one big family.

In China, we had the first emperor.  In Rome, we had the first Caesar.  The Mongol Empire got the Great Khan.  Emperor, Caesar, and the Great Khan are titles for whoever that had conquered and ruled over an empire.  It is within the limit of the laws of physics that one day we may witness a new emperor title for whoever that will conquer and rule over the entire earth.  How are we  going to analyze this fearsome individual?  Will he or she be an empathetic ruler?  Will he or she be a ruthless ruler?  What sorts of state the world will be in when it gets ruled by such a ruler?  Will the minorities be persecuted and executed?  Will there be more genocide under one ruler?  Will such a ruler proclaim that to conquer all so there won’t be another war?  Will such a ruler proclaim that to conquer all is to get rid of nuclear weapons and other weapons of mass destruction?

We won’t know how insane or vice versa the world will become, because nobody has a prophetic crystal ball.  Nonetheless, I think the scenario in which — I imagine that one day the whole world will be a subject of one ruler — is entirely agreeable with the laws of physics.  It’s not loony to think so far ahead, but it’s rather dull to not do so.  Hollywood is probably already thinking of how to churn out a film that depicts a whole universe is being ruled by one ruthless ruler.  Such a ruler would rape, kill, pillage, molest, and enslave his subjects at the whim of his lunacy.  Such a script will be written by the next young Shakespeare.

Sticks and Stones

In nuclear age, some people tend to think numbers don’t matter, because one nuke can send millions and more to the grave.  Nonetheless, I can’t help but wonder what if all the nukes go off but fail to kill the very last couple thousands of human beings, because the last few ones are resilient as cockroaches.  This shows that number does matter.  With enough number, even all the nukes go off, some human beings will be able to carry on with sticks and stones.  These people will live, but they will suffer a hell that they wish they had never been born.  Perhaps, Einstein can be wrong in some mathematical equations, but he might be dead right on people who live through the next great war will have to use sticks and stones for their regiments.

I’ve always had this thought in the back of my head, and it keeps on telling me that nuclear winter is coming.  We have witnessed atomic bombs went off in WWII in Japan, and the devastation of these bombs left behind was godlike destruction.  According to https://answers.yahoo.com/question/index?qid=1006041224270, a single modern nuclear bomb such as hydrogen bomb can be 1000 times more powerful than an atomic bomb.  With this picture of how powerful a hydrogen bomb may be, do we really want to test to see Einstein is right about sticks and stones?  Although I think there will be some lucky souls that might survive the successive nuclear bomb attacks — they might have underground bunkers and whatnot that can resist nuclear bomb attacks — but I doubt that we would know for sure who could win in the battle of number versus nuclear weapon.

In WWI, people were convinced that peace would prevail as the twentieth century was young.  I had heard some people mentioned how people back then believed modern trades and business links would bring peace and prevail over war.  Unfortunately, they were so wrong as WWI broke out in July 28th of 1914.  Nowadays, some people are believing that the world is so interconnected by modern communications, transportations, financial connections, trade links, and whatnot that WWIII would be impossible.  These people may want to refresh their memory of WWI, because history can sometimes be a great teacher.

In my opinion, it’s not a conspiracy theory to think that WWIII might happen.  It takes only one rouge state with many friends that starts the attack on another state with many friends to have a WWIII started.  In fact, it might just be about one state is winning an economic battle against another state, and the state that is losing in the economic warfare would begin to lash out with military prowess.  In today world, I’m pretty sure that two big powerful states that got friends may very well start a WWIII easily.  Perhaps, smaller states that are friends of the superpowers would push the superpowers into WWIII.  If a superpower fails to protect a smaller state or giving a smaller state a sense of security, I don’t think such a superpower would be able to recruit more friends into her alliance structure.  Sure, a WWIII may also start out with proxy wars in smaller states, but the fire of WWIII may eventually engulf the whole world.

We know wars such as WWI, WWII, and possible WWIII are wars that require traditional military structures.  By this I meant the battlefield will be littered with as many weapons and soldiers as possible.  Nonetheless, I think WWIII will also see nontraditional battlefields.  How come?  The future war is going to be a war of unrestricted warfare tactics and strategies.  From guerrilla tactics to massive force blitzkrieg, all is going to be carried out in WWIII.  Of course, all of that may not be even mattered if states with nuclear weapons decide to empty their nuclear arsenals as much and as fast as possible.

Knowing the truth of how ugly a future world war would be, why would humans even think about playing a zero sum game?  Perhaps, we are humans, but we still have some ape DNA strands within us still.  Only animals (e.g., ape, whale, bird, etc…) know the trap is around the corner and yet they still head right into it.  Let’s hope Einstein will be very wrong on how humans will resort to sticks and stones for regiments, because otherwise it would be insane.

As Long Humans Won’t Go Insane, M.A.D. Still Matters For Some Time To Come

I’m a keyboard warrior, and here is my theory on what if U.S.A. and China would go to war against each other.  I’m not an expert in military weaponries and technologies, and so I’m not even going to try to be specific in details.  Read on to see what I got in mind.

Many people would think China would go to war with Philippines and Japan before they would attack U.S.A., and I think this is unlikely.  Only if Philippines and Japan provoke China in unbearable way, then China would attack these two countries.  Nonetheless, if I’m in charge of China, I would not think Philippines and Japan would dare to provoke and attack China first.  Thusly, I would only draw out secondary defensive plans, with care though, to address the what if Philippines and Japan attack China.  The primary plan which to address the priority would be going to war against U.S.A., because — at this point in human timeline — U.S.A. is the only foe in the world that would dare to truly challenge China right in the open, conventional or not.

Of course, in the between of everything, I don’t think China would be careless about little details, and so China would probably draw out plans to address diplomatic conundrums just so China could have an edge in world diplomacy.  Furthermore, China would want to make sure she knows who would side with U.S.A. when war truly breaks out between U.S.A. and herself.  Meanwhile, China is trying to scare Vietnam and her neighbors into submission, because this way China would get an idea of who will be against her for sure when war breaks out between U.S.A. and herself.  Vietnam is going to be capitulated between China and United States.  Simply put, Vietnam knows China will forever be her neighbor through geography, but she can use U.S.A. to push back against China when things get too ugly.  Other asian neighbors will think twice in challenging China, and so China would know of this too.

Russia would love to see China and U.S.A. go to war, because Russia wants to see two tigers on a mountain killing each other as she waits for her turn to swoop down and destroy both when the time and means are on her side.  Although it seems as if Russia is suffering consequences of economic sanctions and the turmoil in Ukraine, but Russia got time on her side to just wait things out.  Meanwhile, Russia is cozying up with China to leverage against U.S.A. and Europe in terms of military, diplomacy, energy, and economy.  Moreover, Russia would throw oil into the fire to flame things up between U.S.A. and China.  Thus, we will see Russia and China will strike even more deals in weapons, military, economics, and whatnot.

Europe is facing economic turmoils in several parts of her region.  I think China, Russia, and United States are befriending Europe on the surface but taking advantages of her underneath the surface.  After all, who could let go a bargain/deal or a momentous advantage in whatever, right?  Thus, we will see China, Russia, and the United States to partly be helpful but also partly be very unhelpful toward European countries in general.  Nonetheless, it’s possible that there are several European countries that aren’t expendable for military strategical reasons, thus we would see China, Russia and the United States fight for European friendships in this specific situation.  What military strategic reasons?  Don’t ask me, because Europe is a big place too, and so it’s obvious that Europe will have a role to play if a war between China and United States breaks out.

U.S.A. is trying to have her economy recovers from the recent financial crisis in 2008.  The recovery in the United States is truly slow, and so the United States does have her hands tie behind her back.  As China increases her military expenditures, the United States compels to spend money on keeping her military edge even though her economy is still not recovering.  China got Russia to supply some military technologies, but China is probably spending untold amount of money in research and development to develop her own in-house military technologies that would give her an edge over her foes.  Obviously, United States faces a difficulty in scaring China nowadays, because China is way stronger in terms of military and economics.  Thus we have seen China becomes more assertive in pushing United States out of the Pacific.  This way, China is going to have her own Monroe doctrine in the 21st century.  Of course, if United States refuses to allow China to have her own Monroe doctrine, China would probably do whatever she can to push United States out of the Pacific regardless.

China also got a backup plan to make sure her country isn’t too relying on the Pacific for energy and whatnot.  This is why we are seeing China proposes the modern Silk Road development.  This means China is creating a land route for her energy and trades just so in case she can circumvent the United States’ possible actions in the Pacific.  For an example, the United States can use her carrier fleet to blockade China from doing her normal operations in the Pacific, and this would hamper China’s trades and energy imports.  The Silk Road is like one arrow shoots two birds at the same time.  On one hand the Silk Road will boost the regional economies and in longer term would also keep China’s economy strong, and on the other hand the Silk Road would allow China to develop a second route to circumvent the possible Pacific blockades from her foes.

I can go on, but I’m just a keyboard warrior, and so let me summarize things up.  I conclude that if the United States will not allow China to have her own Monroe doctrine, China would do just about anything to push the United States out of the Pacific regardless.  I don’t see how China would allow the United States to contain her as she soars higher and higher.  Meanwhile, the United States has her plate full, but she probably tries to contain China regardless.  This will lead to the faster development of China’s modern Silk Road.  Furthermore, we will see Russia and China team up even more closely.  In this way, China/Russia alliance will try to win even more friends.  With both powerful countries (i.e., China and Russia) together they are more convincing this way in winning friends.  Basically, China and Russia are trying hard to isolate the United States in all fronts before a real war would break out.  Of course, things won’t go as plan if the United States or China decide to back down for world peace.  Nonetheless, I don’t know if there is any will in either China or the United States for backing down.  Sure, we still got M.A.D. to prevent an all out war such as a new World War (i.e., WWIII), but humans are capable of going insane.

World Powers Of Today Won’t Be Around When World War III Reshuffles World Players

I think we are living in a period in which is very similar to China’s Warring States period.  Of course, there are many things that will refute this point of view soundly.  For an example, we can say that this is the modern era with modern technologies of all sorts, weaponized or not, and so we should not go back too far into the past to figure out the future.  In respect to modernists and contemporary thinkers, I think they have an argument if they’re trying to make this case, but I don’t think they are 100% correct.  In a grander picture, China’s Warring States period reminds us how states were fighting for supremacy.  Once, there were many in the East, but once relatively modest Qin state became the supreme State of them all.  In today picture, we are seeing the same struggle in a larger scale of course, because we are talking about a possible World War III.

United States is trying to retain the global supremacy at a cost of spending greater sum of money for military and whatnot.  Russia is trying to stand up tall and strong again like it once was a super power.  China is re-emerging as a Middle Kingdom again.  Many other important region players such as Turkey, Iran, Israel, Saudi Arabia, and so forth are trying to carve out more world space for themselves by taking the advantages of the struggle between huge powers (e.g., United States, China, Russia).  If we look closer at this big picture, it seems the world is playing a similar rhyme to the one in China’s Warring States period.  In fact, this scary picture may also look like any other past period that got many world powers struggling for resources, territories, and cultural supremacy.

I’m sure there were ups and downs for a state that was trying to survive China’s Warring States period.  Thus, it is obvious that at the time, small state that should look harmless was able to dominate over the stronger ones.  Just like life, in natural state, things can go awfully weird and non-straight line.  This means, it’s possible for a harmless, small state of today to dominate the future, globally.  This means we should not think arrogantly that United States, China, and Russia would always be the dominant powers.  Furthermore, we can look back at World War II and see that this war had completely reshuffled many world players’ strengths at the time.  I think Britain was most noticeably shrunken and given way to the United States rise till now.  Although, I think the United States was risen for quite some time already before the WWII, but the rising pace was accelerated even faster and more intense as WWII played out.  Right after WWII, many European powers were drained out of resources, money, and whatnot, thus the United States and Russia became the two most dominant players that created the so called the Cold War.

I’m not a history buff, but I think even with my measly historical knowledge it’s enough for me to see that if World War III to occur, the world will once again see a reshuffle of world powers.  Perhaps, the so called the superpowers of today will no longer be the lead countries after the next world war.  This is why it’s rather sad to see so many online commenters who joked casually about the next world war as if they wished for the next big war to happen, according to their online comments under various online news articles.  Perhaps, Einstein would be dead wrong on the next world war, because it’s possible that cooler heads in the future might use nuclear weapons in limited way, preventing the nuclear winter here on earth.  Nonetheless, such an aftermath won’t look pretty either, because the depopulation of earth in such a scale won’t be easily recovered.  It’s sad to see that us humans dare to think about depopulation, because we fear of running out of resources and spaces.  Why don’t we be constructive instead and think up way to share available resources.   Even better, we can improve our technology to allow us humans to colonize outer space planets and moons so we can mine for even more resources.  Basically, there is untold and near unlimited amount of resources that are waiting for us to mine out in space, and yet here on earth we are killing each other for scraps.

Why am I writing this blog post now?  I’m seeing so many countries are preparing for the next big war.  Especially, the big boys like the United States, China, and Russia are spending even more money on their military.  Perhaps, I’m just paranoid about this, but I fear that countries with stronger military incline to push for war as they think that their military can win war.  Of course, it’s not wrong for a country to have a strong military in case she needs to defend herself in an unexpected war.  With that being said, I don’t think it’s right for a country with strong military to encourage illogical war.  Furthermore, we are no longer in a time period in which weapons can only kill hundreds, but we are in a time period in which our weapons can annihilate a city in one go.  In such a scenario, the aftermath could render a city unusable for decades to come and more.  I don’t think war is wise, because death and destruction do come only when nothing can be agreed upon.  We humans are built to think, and so we should let common sense runs wild!  We should not be like animals that may eat their own children.  Bringing the next big war to fruition may have the consequence that is no different than animals that eat their children.  Such cannibalistic behavior should only be reserved for Hollywood films and not for real life.  In my opinion, the next big war will definitely reshuffle the world powers of today!

Mutual Assured Destruction For Participants Only

In a nuclear war, a nuclear capable country that got hit first would like to retaliate with nuclear bombs and missiles, but the retaliation capability might not be available if the first preemptive nuclear wave is all it takes to clear out the necessary infrastructure for a retaliation to take place.  I’m no expert in this matter, but it’s commonsense to think that the first nuclear wave is meant to take out the enemy’s nuclear retaliation infrastructure.  Nonetheless, let’s assume a fictional scenario in which the first nuclear wave failed to take out an enemy’s nuclear retaliation infrastructure, and so the retaliation wave was retaliated.  For an example, submarines with nuclear missiles and whatnot could be used for a nuclear retaliation in a nuclear war.

I can imagine how fast things might be happening when a nuclear war breaks out.  Nonetheless, let’s assume a fictional story in which United States saw the first nuclear wave came from Russia, and so the United States launched nuclear missiles and bombs toward Russia for a retaliation.  During this scenario, other countries that had yet to participate in the conflict were horrified at the scenario.  Nuclear capable countries that had yet to enter the conflict decided to sit out and watch United States and Russia became radioactive.  They were not prepared to see their people got involved in a nuclear war.

As Russia and United States became radioactive, the countries that sat out of the nuclear war became even more convincing that they would sign a peace treaty with the rest to see nuclear war would not break out again.  In the end, United States and Russia were the only two countries that got radioactive.  The people in both countries were nuked to a point of no return.  Meanwhile, China and the rest were quickly assured the world that they would do everything they could to help out Russia and United States in whatever fashion for whatever left in both radioactive countries.

Although the scenario I just described is fictional, I don’t think for a second that it’s impossible for such a scenario.  In this strange world of ours, even something nasty as nuclear weapon is possible, how can we think the scenario I described is not possible?  Contemporary speaking, United States and Russia are in each other’s cross-hairs.  As the conflict between United States and Russia heats up, the nuclear war scenario between both countries may enter our thoughts.  However far-fetched things seem as United States and Russia battle each other out for energy supremacy and whatnot, let’s hope both countries will be sane enough in the end to strike peace arrangement somehow.  After all, both countries cannot go all out, because nuclear war is the last resort in which nobody wants to see it happens.

I think many people may think that when a nuclear war happens, the whole world will be damned by nuclear bombs and whatnot.  Nonetheless, perhaps by witnessing the first and second wave of nuclear attacks by the countries that carry out the nuclear attacks, the bystanders might just as well be bystanders unless they see nuclear bombs and missiles head their way.  In conclusion, I think nuclear war will result in a mutual assured destruction for the countries that are going to be responsible for a nuclear war, but the world won’t go nuclear winter.  The losers of nuclear war are going to mutually assured destruct themselves, but the world will standby and watch till the dust settles.  After all, why would any sane country want to see a population gets nuke out of the existence?

Clear Cut Divided World May Lead Countries Into Radioactive World War III

A war can break out for all sorts of reasons.  Sometimes, a war can just start by a strong mind leader who has a lust for wars.  Nonetheless, in a complex world of today, albeit wars might occur for the reasons that nobody will ever be able to guess, I think a global war might occur easily if the world is so clearly divided.  What do I mean by this?  Read on and I expand on this further…

Well, if the world is so clearly divided in a sense that a world is splitting into two groups — each group consists of friendly countries that are so ready to defend one another — I think this configuration for the world will easily ignite a global war.  How come?  You can call it as domino effect or a string effect or ally effect or whatever, but the reality is that this sort of division in the world will encourage one country to go to defend a friendly country with little hesitation.  Although, defending a friendly country is a noble deed, but when the world is so clearly divided into two groups, many countries may tend to look pass the diplomacy and pour resources into war preparation instead.  Of course, if a country wants peace, it must always be ready for war.  When a country is so war ready, it’s very unlikely to be considered as a weak target and will not easily be bullied or taunted into a possible war.  Nonetheless, war preparation is not the same as war preparation with clear cut global division.

When we have a world with clear cut global division, countries that are grouped together and war ready will find themselves to be overly confident.  Overconfidence may lead into pushing diplomacy aside, thus war preparation might just become preemptive strikes.  Perhaps, preemptive strikes come in all sort of forms, and eventually the physical form of war might just become a reality.

In today world though, we have nuclear weapons, thus even with our current clear cut global division world, I doubt that a global war such as World War III will easily erupt.  Nonetheless, if certain countries that are able to find a way out of (MAD) Mutual Assure Destruction situation, then a clear cut global division kind of world, even with nuclear weapons, will find itself embroil in a global war.

I think the world we are currently living in is a dangerous one.  It’s clearly that China is a rising global power, and some people even consider that China is already a super power.  Whether China is a super power or not, it does have more allies than before for China is growing in military and economic strengths.  Furthermore, with China’s advancements, many countries are rethinking about their strategic friendships.  With more countries are willing to be under China’s global influences, this will put United States in a situation which will be very uncomfortable.

Of course, United States can follow Britain’s playbook.  In the past Britain conceded its global power to the United States in a way that it did not wage war against the United States.  Of course, the British did attack the United States when the United States was still a colony or sort of.  Nonetheless, the United States declared independence from Britain, and when the dust was settled Britain did not try to invade the United States again.  After World War II, Britain conceded her power to the United States.

Another option for the United States in the face of China rising is that doing everything it can to disturb China’s rise.  The eventual outcome of this option will not be clear for obvious reasons.  One obvious reason is that nobody can be sure that the United States can contain China, because China is economically strong and militarily ambitious.  Furthermore, China is one of those countries that can use the MAD strategy.  With modern nuclear weapons, China can deny a potential enemy from being too aggressive against China’s core interests.

As China is ambitiously rising, the United States is embroiling in economic downturns and global enemies such as Russia and other players in the Middle East.  While the United States is clearly wanting to contain China somewhat, but the United States is having her plate full.  With a full plate to deal with, containing China will not be easy for the United States.

Since China is knowing that the United States is trying to contain its ambitions, thus China is working in a direction in which will not be favorable for the United States.  Furthermore, China is now working ever closer with Russia, thus the United States will have to find other allies to counter China Russia combination.  Nonetheless, China and Russia are creating their own organizations that allow even more countries to join such organizations, and so the world is becoming evermore clear cut divided.  The world is definitely being divided by United States and China.

As the world is being divided by two most awesome countries, United States and China, many smaller and weaker countries will pick side.  Some countries will try to stay neutral, but for how long?  What if China or United States wants such neutral countries to pick side at all costs, can such neutral countries stay neutral?  For an example, United States and Europe and Russia want Ukraine to pick side!  The original government of Ukraine wanted to go with Russia, but it got overthrown, and now the newer government wants to go with NATO (Europe and United States).  Nonetheless, I doubt Russia will approve of that and will do everything it can to prevent something like that from happening.

In conclusion, my theory is that if MAD isn’t useful anymore, a clear cut global divided world will find itself embroiling in global war.  Perhaps, we can call such a war a World War III.  Cliche or not, it’s a war that I do not want to see it happens.  After all, the next global war might push countries with nuclear weapons to go nuclear.  Modern nuclear weapons are way more powerful than the ones that the United States had dropped on Japan, and so I think we should be fearful of the next global war.  Instead of millions of deaths, we may witness hundreds of millions of deaths for the next global war.