We Should Heed Chinese Minister of Foreign Affair’s, Wang Yi, Call For Diplomacy In Regarding To Tension Between the United States and North Korea

A rumor has that China has moved around 150,000 troops to the border of North Korea.  Meanwhile, a Chinese minister of foreign affair, Wang Yi, has warned both the United Sates and North Korea to not start a war on Korean Peninsula, and he also said all sides will lose if this to occur.  Wang Yi is one of those top 7, if I’m not wrong, people who are directly taking orders right underneath Chinese president Xi Jin ping.  His words are to be taken seriously, and so it’s going to be foolish to believe that China isn’t going to protect North Korea from an attack.  Lately, online and offline news have surmised that China would help the United States to take out North Korea, but I think these news are too optimistic.  I believe that China would use North Korea as a proxy war to drag the United States in once the North Korea war gets going.

United States’ arm forces are spreading thin throughout the world.  Russia is tempting to expand further West while China is going to expand further in South and East China Seas.  A war with North Korea will be expensive for the United States, because it won’t be a quick war unless the United States uses nuclear weapons.  Nonetheless, once a nuclear missile from the West flies toward the East, Russia and China would quick to release theirs toward the West, because they won’t trust the United States’ true targets.  This means a nuclear war could happen if a nuke starts to fly off in any direction.  Invading North Korea through ground forces requires the United States to persuade ally countries to go along, and the war will be very expensive.  Furthermore, if not careful, North Korea war this time could be a repeat of Viet Nam war in which the North would eventually swallow the South.

The United States still has Afghanistan, Syria, and several other places to be worried about, and so adding North Korea to the plate in a time in which the United States is still trying to fix her economy is rather worrisome.  Although China isn’t favoring the North Korea position in regarding North Korea’s nuclear development, but China hates to see the South swallows the North even more.  This means China would aid North Korea once again once the war starts.  In the long run, I think China is going to use the United States to push North Korea to abandon nuclear development and nuclear weapons altogether in exchange for China’s protection.  If I’m not wrong, I think China’s position is very clear, because China is strategically regarding North Korea as a buffer between the United States and South Korea.  If I’m not wrong, a war with North Korea in our time will pull China into a war against the United States like it had happened in the 1950s (Korean War).

South Korea should be very worried, because once missiles start flying, North Korea will pour down South and try to repeat the Korean War.  Basically, North Korea is a very poor country, and so it got nothing to lose.  South Korea is a very rich country, and so it got everything to protect.  This time with modern weapons, things can be so much worse.  Chinese minister of foreign affair, Wang Yi, in the video right after the break warns both the United States and North Korea in not starting a war on Korean Peninsula.

Nobody Is Foolishly Enough To Have Another Korean War?

According to the news, North Korea is menacing again.  Just in, North Korea and South Korea were showered each other’s water with artillery rounds.  Furthermore, North Korea is threatening to do another nuclear test.  Some commenters on Yahoo expressed that if North Korea doesn’t change its ways, U.S. and NATO might attack North Korea to end Kim Jong-Un regime.  This sounds all good, and I bet it does make these commenters feel good too.  Nonetheless, I don’t think U.S. and NATO want to do something this foolish like keyboard warriors suggested.  Sure, I’m also a keyboard warrior, but at least I don’t suggest going to war so easily.  By the way, it’s not like U.S. hadn’t tried to attack North Korea before, right?  We did, and it wasn’t all that easy.

The Korean war in 1950 was just as gruesome as any war.  Nonetheless, at the time, we used 1950s’ warfare technology.  Imagine nowadays, North Korea does have better warfare technology plus nuclear weapons.  Sure, the United States and NATO do have better warfare technology, but it still won’t make going to war with North Korea a simple matter.  Millions could die, and that is probably understated.

If one versus one just like in a video game, going to war must be fun since everybody got to watch a game being played out.  Unfortunately, if United States and NATO ever attack North Korea, China might not be so idled by.  How about Russia?  What about Iran?  So on and so on.  North Korea is nobody business until it becomes the whole world’s business, because North Korea is not so isolated even though we may like to think she is being isolated.  Especially, China isn’t taking it easy when it comes down to North Korea.  Imagine if you’re China, and North Korea is menacing right next door, how do you feel?  Especially North Korea does have nuclear weapons.

Kim Jong-Un might not have a lot of choice even if he wants more choices.  His country isn’t friendly with the West and South Korea, otherwise it would have been a buddy to the West and South Korea already.  Thus, whatever the West and South Korea is doing, North Korea is not going to take it lightly.  Kim Jong-Un knows that his regime is shaky since he is young and inexperienced.  Nonetheless, he is not all stupid unless I’m wrong on this.  Nonetheless, I think he feels that his country and himself have to act strong, because the otherwise isn’t an option.  Acting weak might undermine his ruling.  Furthermore, acting weak only invites the United States and NATO to undermine him even more.  Since he got no choice, he has to act strong.

Nonetheless, when you’re acting strong, you must have already made up one’s mind in following through, right?  After all, what if the enemies call your bluff, what are you going to do?  Are we talking about poker?  Unfortunately, in North Korea case, I don’t think it’s poker at all.  Why?  If Kim Jong-Un’s bluff got caught, he would be attacked from all angles.  After all, his regime could not be shaken even a tiny bit, otherwise things will just gradually slip away into the oblivion.  Thus, he would back his bluff with an all out war.  I think Kim Jong-Un would bluff, but in the end he would go all out even though he would bluff.  It means that Kim Jong-Un would sacrifice his whole country just to back his bluff.  Why?  Either you’re strong or not!  Why?  Kim Jong-Un doesn’t have a choice unless his country could be seen just as another friendly nation to the West.  Unfortunately, I don’t see how the United States and NATO would like to cuddle up to North Korea, and Kim Jong-Un would be too suspicious to believe anything the United States and NATO have to offer.

As the United States and NATO continue to keep North and South Korea at war status, I don’t see how these prolonging hatreds could turn out peacefully.  Hostility will be piled up to the point of you know what, but by then nobody will care about how many millions will die.  Kim Jong-Un by then will not be able to be in control anymore but just have to defend to his death.  Obviously, one North Korea will never be able to win the day!  It’s a no brainer!  Nonetheless, nowadays, I doubt North Korea would be fighting alone!  You never know when the time comes, out of the woodwork came friends that we thought North Korea would never have!  Thus, North Korea isn’t as easy as Iraq’s Saddam Hussein.  Otherwise, North Korea would have been conquered by United States & South Korea in 1950s already!

Peace should be reigned supreme, but when war came peace would be a sore loser.  In time of war, millions will die, but eyes would be blinded by hatreds; ears would be deaf by war cries; nobody would care who is right and who is wrong until all of the dusts got settled by…

Perhaps, North Korea is like a drunker or an addict.  Thus, North Korea can only change within her own country!  The outsiders like the United States and South Korea can only infuse more hatreds from North Korea.  The more the outsiders bash North Korea, the more hatreds of North Korea will have for the outsiders.  Thus, such growing hatreds can only manifest into all out war one day, and by then whatever the outsiders have to say about North Korea will be even more pointless.  If North Korea economy improves, and if the world is willing to be friend to North Korea, I think as long North Korea is seriously wanting to change for the better, things might get better.  Moreover, the United States and NATO should never fear North Korea, because North Korea would not be foolishly enough to attack the United States and NATO without her friends’ backings.  Nonetheless, North Korea will grow 100 times stronger if the United States and NATO start to make the first move!  How come?  North Korea’s allies will come to her aid since she wasn’t the one who had made the first move!

In summary, I think the North Korea situation is very unique in today world!  She has nuclear weapons, because we think so and she had tested some sorts of nuclear tests.  She has the manpower for a really big war!  She is mysterious enough that the United States, NATO, and South Korea might not have good enough intelligence to make the right decisions.  She is a buffer for China!  Her allies do not want to see a united Korea!  She would become 100 times stronger if she got attacked first (i.e., as long she doesn’t make the first move like starting a war without good reasons).  Thus, I think North Korea will go on and poke at United States, NATO, and South Korea with whatever tricks she has, because she knows nobody is foolishly enough to think she is another Saddam Hussein!  Nonetheless, things cannot go on forever like how they are, because the hot air balloon might just pop.  I think the West and South Korea and North Korea need to find ways to be friendly, otherwise the hot air balloon is just going to grow bigger until it pops.  It won’t be pretty!  North Korea might regret, but the world would pay a hefty price!


Besides Personal Issues, Many Of Us Now May Face A Major War If North Korea Tension Won’t Calm Down!

Original caption: "Flying under radar con...

Original caption: “Flying under radar control with a B-66 Destroyer, Air Force F-105 Thunderchief pilots bomb a military target through low clouds over the southern panhandle of North Viet Nam. June 14, 1966.” (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

As the world is getting weirder by the day, I wonder what weirdness the next morning will bring.  Many European economies that are in Euro zone are  looking like they are about to go supernova all the time; U.S. economy is not yet in a recovery and sort of stagnating; Syria is still in a deep civil war with proxy states choose sides (uttering chaos); elsewhere in the world I bet there are some conflicts that could be troubled as well, and so nobody is preparing for another conflict unless insanity creeps in.  Nonetheless, North Korea is threatening United States and South Korea.  Nonetheless, the West too is voicing and reacting louder than necessary, therefore things can get out of hand.  Russia joined in to warn all sides need to take a step back or things might get out of hand.  China had said something along the border of which Russia had voiced, but in a more neutral tone.  Surprisingly, China actually massed troops near North Korea’s border.  So, what is really going on folks?

My fear is that the West and North Korea war brinkmanships may get out of hand, and this will actually pull in more unwanted players than any side has ever anticipated.  No one likes to be threatened by anyone or by any mean.  Nonetheless, should we go to war for threats?  I think we should go to war only when an aggressor aggressively makes the first push, because war means there isn’t any real solution to attaining peace.  Furthermore, the days of small wars and bilateral wars had mostly been extinct.  Nowadays, any conflict can threaten to bring on multilateral conflict/war.  Just take a look at North Korea tension with the West as an example, one could see if the tension becomes more than just talk, not only the United States and her allies have to worry about North Korea’s actions, but China and her allies too have to worry about the outcome of North Korea conflict.

For sure, China would not want a destabilized North Korea.  China has big interest in keeping things to stay peaceful as they’re building their economy still, and a destabilized North Korea might make China’s neighbors to choose side.  When China’s neighbors choose side, trading between China and her neighbors might become destabilized too.  Also, I think China would not be happy if North Korea be absorbed by South Korea, because American troops then can border China in huge number.  Obviously, China is still a big trading partner of the United States, but I don’t think China likes the prospect of seeing American troops station near her border.  China is very keen on her Sun Tzu’s encirclement tactic, and the last thing China wants to see is to have herself to be contained and encircled by United States militarily, geopolitically, and economically.  I think, so far United States has the upper hand in encircled China militarily, but China has a stronger economy which is growing by the days.

I’m too young to have any real experience of Việt Nam war, because I only got to know of Việt Nam war through family accounts and history books, videos, and so on.  Nonetheless, what we know concretely is that North Vietnamese won the war over the South Vietnamese.  The South Vietnamese were Cộng Hoà, and North Vietnamese were Việt Cộng.  The Việt Nam war aftermath had North Vietnamese united and annexed the South Việt Nam with North Việt Nam as one, because North Vietnamese won the war after Americans pulled out (i.e., stopped the supports for the South Vietnamese).  During this time, China and Russia were no longer worried about the West involvement in Việt Nam.  Nonetheless, it was hard to say that China and Việt Nam became closer friends since Việt Nam was then invaded by China.  According to Wikipedia’s “Sino-Vietnamese War” article, China did that to warn Russia to back off on exerting influences into Southeast Asia.  Nonetheless, before China’s Việt Nam invasion, China and Russia were on the same page which to push the Americans out of Việt Nam.  They both achieved that, and the result was a united Việt Nam, under the ruling of the North Vietnamese.

When I look at Việt Nam war, I feel that I can understand North Korea conflict better.  How come?  First, both North Korea and Việt Nam border China.  Second, both North Korea and Việt Nam have had  or had a division among brothers, but Việt Nam’s north and south territories had already officially annexed as one.  North Vietnamese were also the enemies of the United States and vice versa.  Nonetheless, North Vietnamese are now ruling one Việt Nam, therefore the conflict between Việt Nam and the United States is no longer a conflict.  Furthermore, it seems that lately the United States is wooing Việt Nam ever closer to her side, to antagonize China.  North Korea is a different story, because she considered herself to be at war with the United States and South Korea.  As now, North Korea seems to have a more capable defensive and offensive capabilities than what the North Việt Nam once had (i.e., now it’s only Việt Nam).  Back then, China and Russia poured out a lot of efforts to help North Việt Nam secured South Việt Nam, and so North Việt Nam had successfully annexed South Việt Nam with North Việt Nam, making Việt Nam a unified country now.  Will the history to be repeated in North Korea?

Another Việt Nam war (figure of speech but with deep meaning) is definitely going to be very costly for the United States.  Unless, the United States think the last Việt Nam war was a joke, then by all means the United States can bomb North Korea.  Nonetheless, I think North Korea tension isn’t a simple one, and I fear it might be worse than the Việt Nam war.  After all, let be fair, everyone has their own interest, including North Korea.  I think a North Korea tension might become very costly for many sides, United States, China, and others.  In the past, North Việt Nam (i.e., now it’s only one Việt Nam) wasn’t a nuclear power, but today North Korea is a nuclear power.  So, North Korea tension can definitely be even more complicated than the Việt Nam war if all sides do not manage this so called, North Korean tension, carefully.

I’m not biased toward any side, but I’m worry about the possible devastating costs of a real Korean war.  Aside from money/economic costs, lot and lot of human lives will be at stake if a real Korean war breaks out.  I pray that there won’t be one.  I pray that North Korea will become peaceful as the South Korea.  A peaceful North Korea will keep the status quo, because I think the status quo is definitely better than an all out Korean war!  What do you think?