I’m no expert on China or Asia, because all I know about the current events and past events from China and Asia is and was from the news and various sources online. Nonetheless, I feel that China is rising to the point that certain countries — found themselves to be suspicious of China — feel very uncomfortable. This means these countries have two choices. Perhaps, they either decide to go against China in International geopolitical agenda, or they might just act really weak and be supportive to China so China won’t target them as potential enemies.
United States was the absolute world hegemonic power right after World War II, and now is still somewhat playing a role of a sole super power. Nonetheless, China is rising to the point that can undermine United States’ sole super power status in all categories. Especially, China’s economy is rising still and soon to overtake the United States as the biggest economy, it’s certain that United States will not welcome this phenomenon.
Countries around the world might slowly behind the scene find themselves busy in making a choice between being friend and foe to either United States or China. Moreover, as United States is making Russia an enemy lately, China suddenly finds herself to have a very powerful ally which has a vast border with her. After all, Russia needs China as a friend to amplify her influence on Europe. Ukraine situation is quite clear in term of how Europe could not make an all out sanctions against Russia, because Europe not only depends on Russia’s energy but China’s economy also. Nonetheless, whether China will be Russia’s instrument of containing Europe or not, it’s clear that with China as a friend Russia has more global clout than otherwise.
As United States is undoubtedly competing against China and Russia on many fronts. With Russia, the United States might compete head to head on energy front. With China, United States is competing in so many fronts since China is rising to replace United States as a most powerful force in the world. Whether China would want to be a world hegemony or not, the outsiders will never know. Nonetheless, one rising power is sure to clash against an established power unless either rising power and established power can make a compromise somehow.
Countries that are not as strong as the United States but very powerful on their own still might not want to make themselves a target by looking so powerful, because they fear that either the United States or China will target them for whatever reasons. The world hierarchy system is an imperial one, because we got the super power and then the rest. Just imagine the super power as a king, and the rest as officers and pawns. Do you think officers and pawns want to stand out so much to the point of irritating the king? Nonetheless, right now there are countries that irritate United States and please China, and there are countries that irritate China and please United States. These countries are already picking side, and they may never be able to change side without serious consequences.
The future is bleak, because we are witnessing the two most powerful forces in the world that are at odd with each other. Of course, these two forces can be friend or foe according to the leaders that are working for these two forces. It’s easy to say that these two forces, United States and China, are so intertwined economically to a point that they will not want to make each other as an enemy. It’s a lot harder for us to know if this is the case since the future is unknown. Any small conflict can be the fuel to start a conflagration.
There are countries that do not want to see the United States and China work together so closely. Imagine two most powerful forces in the world work as one, countries that are not viewed as favorable to either powerful force will be the targets for both most powerful forces in the world. If United States and China are working against each other, certain countries can feel more secure for they could always find a friend in the world. Moreover, the benefits for small countries are immense when the two giants are not thinking like one, because in the end the two giants act like two tigers that will exhaust themselves out, leaving the small cubs go unchecked.
The question is on everyone mind nowadays, will there be something so unfortunate that will start a war between United States and China? Of course, nobody will know, because nobody knows the future. Nonetheless, the trend is not looking very good, because the media of the United States and China are painting the other country as a potential enemy and not as a friend. Meanwhile, around the world, smaller countries are assessing their standings between United States and China.
“I know not with what weapons World War III will be fought, but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones.” — by Albert Einstein