According to the news, North Korea is menacing again. Just in, North Korea and South Korea were showered each other’s water with artillery rounds. Furthermore, North Korea is threatening to do another nuclear test. Some commenters on Yahoo expressed that if North Korea doesn’t change its ways, U.S. and NATO might attack North Korea to end Kim Jong-Un regime. This sounds all good, and I bet it does make these commenters feel good too. Nonetheless, I don’t think U.S. and NATO want to do something this foolish like keyboard warriors suggested. Sure, I’m also a keyboard warrior, but at least I don’t suggest going to war so easily. By the way, it’s not like U.S. hadn’t tried to attack North Korea before, right? We did, and it wasn’t all that easy.
The Korean war in 1950 was just as gruesome as any war. Nonetheless, at the time, we used 1950s’ warfare technology. Imagine nowadays, North Korea does have better warfare technology plus nuclear weapons. Sure, the United States and NATO do have better warfare technology, but it still won’t make going to war with North Korea a simple matter. Millions could die, and that is probably understated.
If one versus one just like in a video game, going to war must be fun since everybody got to watch a game being played out. Unfortunately, if United States and NATO ever attack North Korea, China might not be so idled by. How about Russia? What about Iran? So on and so on. North Korea is nobody business until it becomes the whole world’s business, because North Korea is not so isolated even though we may like to think she is being isolated. Especially, China isn’t taking it easy when it comes down to North Korea. Imagine if you’re China, and North Korea is menacing right next door, how do you feel? Especially North Korea does have nuclear weapons.
Kim Jong-Un might not have a lot of choice even if he wants more choices. His country isn’t friendly with the West and South Korea, otherwise it would have been a buddy to the West and South Korea already. Thus, whatever the West and South Korea is doing, North Korea is not going to take it lightly. Kim Jong-Un knows that his regime is shaky since he is young and inexperienced. Nonetheless, he is not all stupid unless I’m wrong on this. Nonetheless, I think he feels that his country and himself have to act strong, because the otherwise isn’t an option. Acting weak might undermine his ruling. Furthermore, acting weak only invites the United States and NATO to undermine him even more. Since he got no choice, he has to act strong.
Nonetheless, when you’re acting strong, you must have already made up one’s mind in following through, right? After all, what if the enemies call your bluff, what are you going to do? Are we talking about poker? Unfortunately, in North Korea case, I don’t think it’s poker at all. Why? If Kim Jong-Un’s bluff got caught, he would be attacked from all angles. After all, his regime could not be shaken even a tiny bit, otherwise things will just gradually slip away into the oblivion. Thus, he would back his bluff with an all out war. I think Kim Jong-Un would bluff, but in the end he would go all out even though he would bluff. It means that Kim Jong-Un would sacrifice his whole country just to back his bluff. Why? Either you’re strong or not! Why? Kim Jong-Un doesn’t have a choice unless his country could be seen just as another friendly nation to the West. Unfortunately, I don’t see how the United States and NATO would like to cuddle up to North Korea, and Kim Jong-Un would be too suspicious to believe anything the United States and NATO have to offer.
As the United States and NATO continue to keep North and South Korea at war status, I don’t see how these prolonging hatreds could turn out peacefully. Hostility will be piled up to the point of you know what, but by then nobody will care about how many millions will die. Kim Jong-Un by then will not be able to be in control anymore but just have to defend to his death. Obviously, one North Korea will never be able to win the day! It’s a no brainer! Nonetheless, nowadays, I doubt North Korea would be fighting alone! You never know when the time comes, out of the woodwork came friends that we thought North Korea would never have! Thus, North Korea isn’t as easy as Iraq’s Saddam Hussein. Otherwise, North Korea would have been conquered by United States & South Korea in 1950s already!
Peace should be reigned supreme, but when war came peace would be a sore loser. In time of war, millions will die, but eyes would be blinded by hatreds; ears would be deaf by war cries; nobody would care who is right and who is wrong until all of the dusts got settled by…
Perhaps, North Korea is like a drunker or an addict. Thus, North Korea can only change within her own country! The outsiders like the United States and South Korea can only infuse more hatreds from North Korea. The more the outsiders bash North Korea, the more hatreds of North Korea will have for the outsiders. Thus, such growing hatreds can only manifest into all out war one day, and by then whatever the outsiders have to say about North Korea will be even more pointless. If North Korea economy improves, and if the world is willing to be friend to North Korea, I think as long North Korea is seriously wanting to change for the better, things might get better. Moreover, the United States and NATO should never fear North Korea, because North Korea would not be foolishly enough to attack the United States and NATO without her friends’ backings. Nonetheless, North Korea will grow 100 times stronger if the United States and NATO start to make the first move! How come? North Korea’s allies will come to her aid since she wasn’t the one who had made the first move!
In summary, I think the North Korea situation is very unique in today world! She has nuclear weapons, because we think so and she had tested some sorts of nuclear tests. She has the manpower for a really big war! She is mysterious enough that the United States, NATO, and South Korea might not have good enough intelligence to make the right decisions. She is a buffer for China! Her allies do not want to see a united Korea! She would become 100 times stronger if she got attacked first (i.e., as long she doesn’t make the first move like starting a war without good reasons). Thus, I think North Korea will go on and poke at United States, NATO, and South Korea with whatever tricks she has, because she knows nobody is foolishly enough to think she is another Saddam Hussein! Nonetheless, things cannot go on forever like how they are, because the hot air balloon might just pop. I think the West and South Korea and North Korea need to find ways to be friendly, otherwise the hot air balloon is just going to grow bigger until it pops. It won’t be pretty! North Korea might regret, but the world would pay a hefty price!
- http://news.yahoo.com/n-korea-leader-warns-very-grave-situation-062830059.html (link)
- http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Korean_War (link)