Can Historical Memories Shape A Future?
Can historical memories shape a future? In my opinion, historical memories could play a great role in shaping the direction of a future even though on the surface we may not see such things happen. For example, the horrific revenge of the Soviet Union against Germany as Soviet Union troops entered Germany when the Nazis continuedly retreated as WWII winded down. This pushed Germany to fight the Soviet Union harder and preferred to surrender to the allies.
The Soviet Union's behavior right after WWII is a great example of why the Soviet Union lost the cold war according to Dr. Citino. If I remembered correctly he said something as such in the YouTube video below. I guess if he is right about this perspective of history, we have a lesson to learn here!
I guess the lesson of history in the context of this blog post is that a careless single victory in the present doesn't mean much if it could cause long-term pain in the future! For example, we have multiple nuclear powers in the world as we speak, but if any one of them uses nuclear weapons carelessly, this could lead to a future that would not be very favorable for such a power.
I wonder, could Japan be closer to the United States and prevent China's historic rise if the United States had won WWII against Japan without nuking Japan? In the video right after the break, Parag Khanna suggests that Japan's heavied investment in China had contributed to today's stronger China!
Perhaps, I'm reading into things that simply aren't there, but I have a feeling that Japan does want China to be quite strong to hedge against the United States. Perhaps, Japan fears the United States' strong will of using nuclear weapons. Is this a good enough reason for Japan to hedge against the United States? I don't see any reason for the United States to ever nuke Japan again. but I feel that Japan may have a long memory of it being nuked by the United States. Sure, it's outrageous to think that Japan is unfaithful to the United States since it's still a very close ally of the United States. Nonetheless, I'm sure there must be a thinking out there like this, and so we can't just totally ignore the possibility!
In summary, I think a victor should not be as ruthless as Genghis Khan or the Soviet Union, because such a ruthless victor would not be able to win the respect of the surrendered power! On the surface, the surrendered power may acquiesce to the demands of the victor, but inside the surrendered power could have a feeling of long-term ill will. I think today's nuclear powers should not use their nuclear weapons carelessly no matter how precise and strategic their nuclear weapons could become because I think such powerful weapons could create unending hatred of one people or power to another!