Here is how I imagine a scenario of a huge war between two powerful countries or two united opposing forces in the near future. In my scenario, a near future will be almost unthinkable if essential something isn’t automated and fully capable of self-regulating through Artificial Intelligence. If two opposing forces are all automated and regulated by AI capabilities — how much collateral damage would there be on human civilians? Is it just too dumb to allow a human soldier to be fighting against a more capable AI mechanized counterpart?
I imagine that two opposing forces would launch an all-out war with all the weapons they have in their arsenals. Such weapons could be fully mechanized automated machines to fully automated electronic spy drones and such. I also imagine that these two opposing forces would prefer not to use human soldiers for the most parts of the war. Human soldiers would probably be on standby to evacuate the human civilians if there won’t be enough mechanized units that are still available in doing such a job.
As the war intensifies, each force would pray that their technology and AI automated weapons could outdo the other until either the enemy’s units and weapons run low or their own units got annihilated. Once such an intense process runs through its course, the victor would aim their robotic units onto the enemy’s human civilian and non-civilian forces. The losing side got almost no option at this point! Either be a hero to fight to the death or surrender unconditionally.
Of course, I leave out the possibility that a nuclear war could be provoked. How come? I imagine that if such a war between two opposing forces could break out — it means nuclear weapons would probably be canceled out of the equation or rendered less capable somehow. Perhaps, if such a war occurs between such two forces, it means either both sides have already somehow disabled each other nuclear weapons or one of these two forces is suicidal.
In conclusion, human soldiers may not be very useful in the future unless they’re going to be used as human spies to infiltrate the enemy’s human networks. For the most parts of a futuristic war, fully automated AI mechanized units would be used to subdue the enemy or enemies. A futuristic war could break out between two most powerful forces means nuclear weapons are no longer in the strategic calculation because these weapons either got disabled somehow or someone is on a suicidal mission.
Isn’t it natural that soon Artificial Intelligence (AI) would steal jobs from soldiers? We all know that AI had beaten best Chess and Go players at their games. We also know that AI also had beaten best video gamers in video games. This means the responsiveness and the intelligence parts of the AI could be used in war scenarios to outdo the human counterparts.
I won’t be surprised to see the future where many wars would deploy AI for automation of submarines, tanks, jets, missiles, and so much more. The video right after the break suggests that China is developing fully automated submarines with AI capability to outdo foes’ submarines and surface ships in a war.
What I’m about to write could be controversial for the time we’re living in now. As we all know president Trump’s tariffs on China are the means to push China to negotiate a fairer trade — at least this is how the president promotes to the public. So far China isn’t willing to be a pushover and so they decide to retaliate pound for pound. This means whoever blinks first would lose a lot more in the long run, but in the end, both the United States and China would lose in short-term — well, at least this is how the news programs promote this.
I’m thinking that could tariff be a blessing in disguise for China? How come? China has been known as the factory for the world since they opened up their market and joined the World Trade Organization. This means China can ramp up production of almost anything! As Trump’s tariffs hit China, companies that want to avoid tariffs from the United States and still want to export to the United States would move their operations out of China. Nonetheless, there are Chinese and foreign companies in China that produce the same stuff but have yet to export their products to the United States would find the vacuum suddenly is a lot more pleasant to navigate and do business.
The Chinese government could also be more lenient toward companies that decide to keep their operation within China, thus allowing these companies to prosper while China’s internal consumer market ought to grow bigger in time. Remember Google? Google left the Chinese market a long time ago but now Google has shown signs that it wants to grab a chunk of the Chinese’s huge consumer market. Unfortunately, Google isn’t making much progress in this front and allowing similar Chinese homegrown companies to grow unchallenged within China.
Since Chinese companies that are going to stay in China could ramp up their production unchallenged as the trade war between the United States and China heats up, these companies ought to grow bigger in a more empty but lucrative Chinese consumer market. Perhaps some European companies may want to open up their operations in China to give the Chinese companies some competitions. Anyway, I think Chinese companies could grow unchallenged in their home market and mass produce even cheaper products to saturate the world market even more. In the end, I think trade war could only harm a weaker foe who got no means to fight back and could not ramp up production. In the case of China, I think trade war could be a blessing in disguise for the reasons I surmised thus far.
I’m just wondering! Lately, the headlines are screaming that China is devaluing the Yuan to help cushion the blow of Trump’s tariff on China’s exports to the United States. Although this is a legitimate concern that the headlines raise, I’m wondering if there is another hidden motive for the Yuan to slide.
Could it be that the Chinese government is letting the Yuan slides so the treasury bonds that the Chinese own which Americans are in debt to China could stay valuable? This way China can begin to sell the treasury bonds while the treasury bonds are still valuable. Once China unloads enough of the treasury bonds onto the market, whatever value China receives from such transaction could then be converted to other favorable assets, investments, and currencies.
Of course, China could always convert the selling of treasury bonds into Yuan and then raise the Yuan’s buying power back up to stave inflation — but then it could begin a deflation. How? Well, if too many Yuans that are chasing the same thing could raise the price of whatever, but when the buying power of Yuans get push up the Chinese government then could lend out these Yuans to other countries and International projects such as Belt and Road Initiative projects to stave inflation. A more powerful Yuan could also allow the Chinese to get more bang for the buck whenever they use the Yuans to acquire whatever. Thus they also have to be careful about the deflation.
I’m no economist and so I could be wrong on what I’m suggesting. Nonetheless, I would love to hear other people’s opinions on the suggestion that I’m suggesting. Am I wrong? Am I even close?
Not one of my best music singles, but here is the new music single I just released recently. Check it out if you got Spotify!
So, Artificial Intelligence is being promoted as a technology which could help automate many things such as cars, airplanes, boats, bus, businesses, and so on. Nonetheless, I’m hoping to see someone develops an AI app for personal uses such as helping one learns a second language! Imagine how awesome it could be if an app is an AI which could teach you how to speak Chinese, German, or whatever language you wish to learn. I imagine that this AI app could talk to you, correct you, and communicate with you until you become fluent in a foreign language!
Why stop there! Imagine that someone could also develop an AI app to teach children math, physics, history and so much more. I think AI could excel at promoting education. With AI I think children could learn more efficiently and the schools may be able to free up school resources for other important agenda. Of course, you never know that AI could eventually transform the role of a school into either something else entirely or the school could cease to exist altogether. If your children and adult friends could learn just about anything through the AI interaction — why bother wasting resources in funding a school?