Nobody Is Foolishly Enough To Have Another Korean War?

According to the news, North Korea is menacing again.  Just in, North Korea and South Korea were showered each other’s water with artillery rounds.  Furthermore, North Korea is threatening to do another nuclear test.  Some commenters on Yahoo expressed that if North Korea doesn’t change its ways, U.S. and NATO might attack North Korea to end Kim Jong-Un regime.  This sounds all good, and I bet it does make these commenters feel good too.  Nonetheless, I don’t think U.S. and NATO want to do something this foolish like keyboard warriors suggested.  Sure, I’m also a keyboard warrior, but at least I don’t suggest going to war so easily.  By the way, it’s not like U.S. hadn’t tried to attack North Korea before, right?  We did, and it wasn’t all that easy.

The Korean war in 1950 was just as gruesome as any war.  Nonetheless, at the time, we used 1950s’ warfare technology.  Imagine nowadays, North Korea does have better warfare technology plus nuclear weapons.  Sure, the United States and NATO do have better warfare technology, but it still won’t make going to war with North Korea a simple matter.  Millions could die, and that is probably understated.

If one versus one just like in a video game, going to war must be fun since everybody got to watch a game being played out.  Unfortunately, if United States and NATO ever attack North Korea, China might not be so idled by.  How about Russia?  What about Iran?  So on and so on.  North Korea is nobody business until it becomes the whole world’s business, because North Korea is not so isolated even though we may like to think she is being isolated.  Especially, China isn’t taking it easy when it comes down to North Korea.  Imagine if you’re China, and North Korea is menacing right next door, how do you feel?  Especially North Korea does have nuclear weapons.

Kim Jong-Un might not have a lot of choice even if he wants more choices.  His country isn’t friendly with the West and South Korea, otherwise it would have been a buddy to the West and South Korea already.  Thus, whatever the West and South Korea is doing, North Korea is not going to take it lightly.  Kim Jong-Un knows that his regime is shaky since he is young and inexperienced.  Nonetheless, he is not all stupid unless I’m wrong on this.  Nonetheless, I think he feels that his country and himself have to act strong, because the otherwise isn’t an option.  Acting weak might undermine his ruling.  Furthermore, acting weak only invites the United States and NATO to undermine him even more.  Since he got no choice, he has to act strong.

Nonetheless, when you’re acting strong, you must have already made up one’s mind in following through, right?  After all, what if the enemies call your bluff, what are you going to do?  Are we talking about poker?  Unfortunately, in North Korea case, I don’t think it’s poker at all.  Why?  If Kim Jong-Un’s bluff got caught, he would be attacked from all angles.  After all, his regime could not be shaken even a tiny bit, otherwise things will just gradually slip away into the oblivion.  Thus, he would back his bluff with an all out war.  I think Kim Jong-Un would bluff, but in the end he would go all out even though he would bluff.  It means that Kim Jong-Un would sacrifice his whole country just to back his bluff.  Why?  Either you’re strong or not!  Why?  Kim Jong-Un doesn’t have a choice unless his country could be seen just as another friendly nation to the West.  Unfortunately, I don’t see how the United States and NATO would like to cuddle up to North Korea, and Kim Jong-Un would be too suspicious to believe anything the United States and NATO have to offer.

As the United States and NATO continue to keep North and South Korea at war status, I don’t see how these prolonging hatreds could turn out peacefully.  Hostility will be piled up to the point of you know what, but by then nobody will care about how many millions will die.  Kim Jong-Un by then will not be able to be in control anymore but just have to defend to his death.  Obviously, one North Korea will never be able to win the day!  It’s a no brainer!  Nonetheless, nowadays, I doubt North Korea would be fighting alone!  You never know when the time comes, out of the woodwork came friends that we thought North Korea would never have!  Thus, North Korea isn’t as easy as Iraq’s Saddam Hussein.  Otherwise, North Korea would have been conquered by United States & South Korea in 1950s already!

Peace should be reigned supreme, but when war came peace would be a sore loser.  In time of war, millions will die, but eyes would be blinded by hatreds; ears would be deaf by war cries; nobody would care who is right and who is wrong until all of the dusts got settled by…

Perhaps, North Korea is like a drunker or an addict.  Thus, North Korea can only change within her own country!  The outsiders like the United States and South Korea can only infuse more hatreds from North Korea.  The more the outsiders bash North Korea, the more hatreds of North Korea will have for the outsiders.  Thus, such growing hatreds can only manifest into all out war one day, and by then whatever the outsiders have to say about North Korea will be even more pointless.  If North Korea economy improves, and if the world is willing to be friend to North Korea, I think as long North Korea is seriously wanting to change for the better, things might get better.  Moreover, the United States and NATO should never fear North Korea, because North Korea would not be foolishly enough to attack the United States and NATO without her friends’ backings.  Nonetheless, North Korea will grow 100 times stronger if the United States and NATO start to make the first move!  How come?  North Korea’s allies will come to her aid since she wasn’t the one who had made the first move!

In summary, I think the North Korea situation is very unique in today world!  She has nuclear weapons, because we think so and she had tested some sorts of nuclear tests.  She has the manpower for a really big war!  She is mysterious enough that the United States, NATO, and South Korea might not have good enough intelligence to make the right decisions.  She is a buffer for China!  Her allies do not want to see a united Korea!  She would become 100 times stronger if she got attacked first (i.e., as long she doesn’t make the first move like starting a war without good reasons).  Thus, I think North Korea will go on and poke at United States, NATO, and South Korea with whatever tricks she has, because she knows nobody is foolishly enough to think she is another Saddam Hussein!  Nonetheless, things cannot go on forever like how they are, because the hot air balloon might just pop.  I think the West and South Korea and North Korea need to find ways to be friendly, otherwise the hot air balloon is just going to grow bigger until it pops.  It won’t be pretty!  North Korea might regret, but the world would pay a hefty price!

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World Conflicts Are Not That Simple!

In this day and age, 21st Century to be exact, conflicts around the world are never going to be simple.  Heck, even in the ancient time, the conflicts then were not so simple.  Now, we have so many countries that are doing overlapping business, because there is so called a chain of supply this and that.  For an example, United States imports from China most, China relies on neighbors and far West for technology and raw materials to produce stuffs for United States, and countries such as Australia love to sell energy products to China to support the supply chains in China.  Obviously, the example I mentioned is to be simplistic, because China is not only exporting goods to United States, but China is exporting to the whole world at large.  United States is obviously not only importing from China, but United States is importing from the whole world at large.  Still, the whole world is importing from China most!  The last sentence does implicit a weakness of globalization.  It begs the question what if China’s supply chains are in trouble, what will the implications be for the world’s economics at large.  It’s not so simple to just say that my country will become self sufficient immediately.  Any country can’t just magically wave a wand in the air, and then the technology and infrastructure and various vocations of expertise — that take decades to build — suddenly and magically materialize for whatever production purposes.  The complexity of the world nowadays begs the question that even small conflict can put any country which depends on the world’s economics in a very uncomfortable position, especially in economics sense.

I think one thing people fail to realize is that nuclear factor is even more important as a war deterrent for world peace than ever before.  Although some of us probably have wished that humankind should have never been able to figure out the nuclear technology, thus nuclear would never have existed.  Nonetheless, such wish is rather foolish since nuclear age has been here for a while already.  This is why nuclear weapons have been employed by various countries for deterrent purposes.  Nuclear weapons are not a figment of the imagination for a long time already!!!  Countries that have nuclear weapons know this, thus these countries use nuclear weapons as war deterrent strategic maneuver.  It’s a very effective war deterrent strategy indeed!  With this knowledge, we can see that United States, China, India, Pakistan, Russia, UK, France, Israel, and North Korea cannot be invaded outright.  The big three countries that for sure cannot be invaded outright are United States, China, and Russia.  Why these three countries have the power to fully destabilize the world or prolong the world peace?  Simply put, their military, economic, and world influence mights ensure their power to dictate world order!  Smaller countries, with nuclear technology or not, cannot compete or go head to head with United States, China, and Russia.  Of course, there is always something that is not on people’s mind and yet will be the exception of whatever rigid order.  In today’s world balance, for United States, China, and Russia to go to war against one another, the exceptional culprit behind this global catastrophe would be a psychopath with powerful positions that can manipulate a country’s foreign policy.

Although the big three in the world will not wage war against one another outright, but they can definitely use their smaller allies to wage proxy wars.  This is why we, people with brain, know that small conflicts around the world might not be so simple.  I can safely assume that all conflicts nowadays are a sort of game for the big three to push and pull against one another, and so in the end of the day the winners will always be the big three!  In short term though, the players who gain something in whatever conflict that the big three are manipulating can also be said that they’re the winners, too.  Nonetheless, in the end of the day, they might not be the ultimate winners!  This is why, I think we, the people of the world, should be more informed, open minded, and less judgmental, and only in this way we can see the events that break out around the world with clearer sense.

In conclusion, United States, China, and Russia know they will not benefit in an all out war, but they’re more profitable in term of controlling the events of the world.  This is why I think the ongoing chaos in East and South China seas, Ukraine, and the Middle East are small events that will dictate the world influence of the big three!  In these events, the big three cannot claim their innocent!  Nonetheless, the big three are acting in their own interest, because the big three after all have to lookout for their own people.  It’s just unfortunate that the smaller players in the world stage have to be manipulated by the big three!  Of course, nobody knows how the world map will look like in the future, thus we can never say that the big three we have now will be the big three of 300 years later.  Remember Roman Empire?  Remember how big they were in ancient time?  If I’m not wrong, they’re no longer here since AD 476.  That’s a long time ago.  Let just say that, the big three are not invulnerable, but at the moment and years to come, these are the players that make the world spins.  At the moment, Ukraine crisis is just another event that the big three are positioning themselves for their own future!  Unfortunately, the West and Ukraine itself will have to be manipulated by the big three!  Russia is looking to gain the most in Ukraine crisis, and Russia does have the popular vote as Crimea’s people are voting for Russia.  China is not yet making a hard stand for Ukraine crisis since it’s playing a waiting game.  Meanwhile, United States is anxiously preventing Russia from annexing Crimea.  Who’s right?  Who’s wrong?  It’s hard to tell, because the big three are never innocent!  Nonetheless, I hope after Ukraine crisis, the world will be more peaceful, however Ukraine crisis will turn out to be!  Let’s not see someone is so stupid enough to push for World War III, OK?  As Albert Einstein had said something along this line, he knew we will have to use nuclear weapons in World War III, but he suggested that we might fight with sticks and stones in World War IV.  It’s a long conclusion, I know!

Undying Chinese YouTube Video

I had never watched his show ever and have never knew him until he allowed his segment of killing all Chinese to air on ABC TV.  Obviously, Jimmy Kimmel probably did not want the kid in his show to speak such nonsense, but he is the adult and yet allowed the segment to air.  People have claimed that Jimmy Kimmel’s “Kid’s Table” program isn’t live, and if this is true then Jimmy Kimmel has to be held accountable for allowing such nonsense to air on his show.  Nonetheless, like I said, I don’t know the dude and his show and have not yet watched a whole segment of “Kid’s Table” where the kid had said something about killing all Chinese so America doesn’t have to pay back the debts that she owes to China.

I’m not Chinese, and I’m a Vietnamese American.  Nonetheless, I do find it’s rather offensive to hear someone wants to kill all Chinese.  Perhaps, the thought of it can definitely give me the chill that if we think it’s acceptable to kill all Chinese, does it mean it will be acceptable to kill all Vietnamese next?  I find such a thought rather senseless and Nazi-like no matter who says it.  Kid or not!  Parents of the kid who had said such a thing need to tell that kid that it’s not OK to even joke about killing 1/5th of the world population!  Furthermore, if Americans start to think that it’s OK to think like that, then everybody around the world, including our allies, will think that lending money to the United States will only be killed off by the United States.

Jimmy Kimmel should be fired or not isn’t my saying, but his decision to allow “Kid’s Table” (Kill all the Chinese) segment to air is simply tasteless and harking back to the time when the Nazis ruled the world.  Check out the video right after the break to see why it’s basically stupid and idiotic to think that it’s OK to think of killing all the Chinese.

What I Think About China Influence For Businesses And Consumers In The World; Just Rehashing What We Already Know, Really!

As China’s economy and military might grow ever stronger, what I think about China Influence for businesses and consumers in the world?  According to Wikipedia’s “Demographics of China” article, based on 2012 census China’s population is at 1,344,130,000.  I think it’s somewhat bigger now since we’re in 2013.  Nonetheless, 2012 census is recent enough, and so we have the idea how big the population there is in China.  With such a big population, China has a humongous human capital potential.  Nonetheless, if China’s economy has yet to grow to where it’s today already, I don’t think China’s humongous human capital potential can be a positive force just yet for China.  We know this isn’t the case!  In fact, we know that China’s economy is continuing to grow at a really fast pace while the world’s economy is still on life support.  No wonder that we see China Influence is growing everywhere in the world.

According to RT’s “China leaves behind the US as world’s leading trade partner” article, since 2011 China is topping the United States in term of who has more trading partners in the world.  According to RT’s article I just mentioned, in 2011, China traded with 124 countries, but the United States could only trade with 76.  Before 2011, it was the United States that led the trading pacts, but China overtook the United States since 2011.  This fact is still true today I suppose since there isn’t any newer facts/news that corroborate otherwise.  Obviously, who has more trade partners will have more saying in world trade matters.  In our recent time, I guess China would be the one who can dictate the direction of the world in term of trading.

As China Influence grows in trading, China can dictate more trading terms.  For an example, if I’m China, I would dictate how I would like to pay for my import and get payment for my export.  It seems that China is already doing this!  If I’m not wrong, I’ve been hearing that China has signed some sorts of trading agreements with certain trade partners to have trades to be made in Yuan (Chinese currency) and not in Dollar (U.S.A. currency).  I think China is doing this to protect herself from having to hold too much dollars.  Also, China is being pressured by United States to have the Yuan appreciates, therefore China is hedging to have more Yuan(s) on hand as the Yuan is going to appreciate in value anyway.  Holding stronger Yuan(s) in China’s whatever accounts will allow China to become wealthier and have stronger ability to purchase whatever abroad and fund whatever locally better than ever before.  With the one example above, how China dictate trades to be made in Yuan, we can see China Influence in trading is very powerful, because China can dictate trading terms in many many more ways and on China’s own terms.

As China is trying to grow even more powerful in all aspects, China is also keen on having their population to spend more.  This way, China too has the influence in importing.  I think it’s natural for Chinese to import more since they’re getting wealthier by the day; therefore, whatever China does to stimulate this sort of behavior, China will see Chinese consumers open up their wallets easier.  Nonetheless, Chinese are fanatic savers, therefore it’s in their DNA to spend wisely, and so we might not see Chinese go crazy over spending.  Still, I think as time progresses and as Chinese grow wealthier by the day, their population has to import more and more and spend more and more.  With a billion plus of people, China will dominate world import even though only a quarter of Chinese population go on spending spree the Chinese fanatic saving way.

As China dominate world import, she can influence the world import greatly.  She can dictate how the world business would be ran.  Fictitiously, for an example, she could make it clear that Chinese people love leather, therefore whatever leather businesses in the world would be greatly benefited in term of exporting.  With importing power/influence, China can wield importing trade terms in her favor.

Combining export and import influences, China is a force to be reckoned with in term of world trade matters.  We know that with great power comes great responsibility, if you don’t mind I borrow this phrase from Spider-Man movie.  Basically, I’m just trying to hint that China can use her China Influence just like how United States have had been doing for awhile now.  China is different though!  Albeit, some world trade interests might converge, China has different culture(s) and interests.  China is on the rise, therefore she wants to be going up and up and just a lot more of going up.  Anything else would be against her interests.  If I’m China, I would do the same!  This is why we’re seeing China is spending more for her military.  This isn’t a surprise but logical, because she needs to build up her military foundation, innovation, structure, strategy, and whatever military to protect her economic might.  Will this ultimately collide with United States’ overall economic/military grand strategy?  The answer is obvious to whoever is willing to take a closer look, right?

People might argue that China does not have friends, because people are using the traditional views that they have had of China.  I think these people aren’t keeping up with time.  Let be logical, whoever has the money has the influence and friends.  This is fact for most of the time in the real world!!!  It cannot be denied, because we’re not watching unfolding events in a movie or a fairy tale!  I think China will make more friends than ever before even though there are those South China Sea islands + land + water + resources disputes and East China Sea dispute.  I don’t pretend that I follow enough about these China Sea’s disputes to know enough details on them, and so I won’t talk about China Sea’s issues.  Instead, I just want to emphasize that China isn’t so aggressive in China Sea to the point that she is starting a war.  Instead, I think China will use her so called China Influence to influence the outcomes of China Sea’s disputes.  I think China will get what she wants in the end, because either you start a war with China or be succumbed under China Influence.  I know in this day and age, starting a traditional war isn’t something that we can just underestimate, and China isn’t military weak!  You can argue about this, but the truth is that who is in their right mind to start a war with China and/or Russia in a nuclear age?  No need to say more, because China is nuclear capable!!!

In summary, I think as we’re moving ahead, China Influence will grow ever stronger, and she can dictate world matters in her own terms a lot more.  It’s all depending on how aggressive she will be!  Furthermore, we know nobody is crazy enough to go to war against China, unless craziness will actually happen!!!  China Influence can dictate how businesses and consumers around the world behave, because it’s obvious that with money, power, and influence she can persuade world trade matters to favor her trade terms.  Yes, I don’t talk much about China’s internal issues such as pollution and political dissents, and I’m doing this on purpose.  How come?  We all know that all countries have some sorts of internal issues, but not that many internal issues can be a death knell to a country’s health.  Furthermore, it’s all depending on how a country progresses in economics, military, policy, and world influence that allows such a country to weather the storms, whether that be internal or external issues.  China is looking strong in economics, military, policy, and world influence, therefore I don’t see how China cannot weather both internal and external issues.  Of course, I cannot be absolutely right, because I don’t know much.  Nonetheless, I think my intuition tells me that China is going to have a hell lot of fun in influencing the world’s businesses and consumers for a long time to come.

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Can The United States Reverse Her Dire Economic Conditions By Building Up Tomorrow Infrastructures?

In the video right after the break, Mr. H. “Woody” Brock speaks a lot about how United States can get back on track to a more productive future.  I think he makes a lot of sense in the video.  In the video he argues that nowadays United States cannot upset the bond market, because United States relies on the bond market to generate money.  With a benign bond market, the cost of borrowing money will not be high (low interest rate) and the borrowing won’t be hard to do so.  Nonetheless, when the bond market begins to doubt that the United States can ever pay back the debts, that is when the cost of borrowing money will be really high and devastated to the future of the country.  Mr. H. “Woody” Brock argues that since the United States has to borrow more money to keep things in order, she has no choice but to be smarter about how she would go about and use the borrowed money.  If using the borrowed money unproductively, the economy will continue to get worse and the borrow cost will go higher until everything gets unsustainable.  He argues that if the country uses the money that she borrows from the foreign entities or entities within wisely, one example would be spending on fixing and building infrastructures that the country needs most, job creation might not be such a tough challenge.  When jobs get created, he infers that there might be hope for the country in dealing with her massive deficits.

Afterthought:  The things that Mr. H. “Woody” Brock suggest in the video might not be the things that definitely get United States out of the world of hurt, but the things he talks of are of common sense.  I think Mr. H. “Woody” Brock might be right about what United States needs to do to reverse some of her economic bad lucks.  Then again, what do I know?

Romantism, Music Track By Vinh Nguyen

I thought it would take another week or so for me to come up with a new music track, but it only took me a day or two.  So here it is.  I named this music track as Romantism.  Please enjoy this music track in the video right after the break.

Afterthought:  It was like 3:00 AM and I got tired.  I was supposed to name the music track as Romanticism, but I misspelled it.  Perhaps, misspelling this music track might make it more memorable.  Cheer!

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