English: The Great Wall of China, near Beijing in July 2006. This is a section of Mutianyu. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
Please note before reading this blog post: Whenever I mention of a lord, I don’t say a lord is representing a country or an entity. Instead, I mean a lord is the energy itself. For an example, oil lord equates to oil itself. Got it? Also, I don’t pretend to be an expert in oil, because let me say this — I’m not an expert in oil matter. Instead, I just have a lot opinions about oil in general, and some of my opinions are definitely inspired by other people’s opinions. Anyhow, my opinions might be just that, but let us see what will actually be as time progresses. Also, when I speak of Great Solar Wall or great whatever wall, it’s just a metaphor…
Here is an outrageous imagination on my part, but let see how outrageous it would be OK? As oil prices become evermore expensive, people begin to wonder what on earth has contributed such volatility in the oil market. I think oil prices have always responded to any volatility in the world that has to do with oil supply and demand. An example of one oil volatility among many oil volatilities in the world would be a country somewhere, which is the main supplier of oil, suddenly cutbacks the production of oil supply. In the case of a major oil supply cutback, oil prices would be skyrocketed unless the demand is going to be less depending on oil from this point on or the oil supply is once again replenishing the so called oil quotas (i.e., different from oil reserves in my opinion as oil quotas are to fulfill the oil demands for whoever and on the moment of notice). So, it’s clear that the world is totally depending on oil as if oil is the cocaine of a cokehead.
Without oil, the world won’t be able to operate as usual. This means economies will shrink and so on. With oil is being so ridiculously in charged of the livelihood of the world, people have began to realize that we need alternative energy to counterbalance the all too powerful oil lord. We are looking for the new lords that can help the world to say no to oil lord from time to time, because without being able to say no to oil lord the world will be totally depending on oil with no end in sight. So, people are hoping that the combination of hybrid, fuel cell, wind, natural gas, solar, and other fringe technology might just be enough to boost their confidence in saying no to the oil lord from time to time.
So far though, alternative energy lords aren’t yet capable in challenging, let alone overthrowing, the oil lord in any shape or form. Nonetheless, we have to ask the question, what if the alternative energy lords know what to do. I think this means the alternative energy lords have to go for broke! So, I imagine the solar lord has to put up a Great Solar Wall which is as long or even longer and much wider than the Great Wall of China to harness enough solar — to make the oil lord sees that his days are numbered. Other alternative energy lords should also go for broke. Of course, the question is, will there be any devastating major impact (i.e., negative impact) for the environment if one or more alternative energy lords go for broke? If the scale of justice for the environment assures us that the lords of alternative energies will do more good than harm, then we should be relentless in cheering and voting for the lords of alternative energies.
I think, more energy lords come onto the battle field the better for the world as the bloodshed will be lessen. There will be check and balance and people don’t really have to go to war for any single energy lord. Any lord that is promising peace will be the lord of our time, right? To make this even more clear, simply put that if we can rely on the lords of alternative energies more, we don’t have to listen to the oil lord who is always attracting wars. When nobody is listening to the oil lord anymore, he will not be able to attract enough supports for wars. With less wars, the world will race ahead for more prosperity and peace! With less wars, the world will race ahead and transform the 21st century into a marvelous, golden century.
If we have a marvelous, golden 21st century, then many current problems of ours will be solved. I imagine that a golden 21st century would allow creativities and jobs to prosper. In order for such prosperity, alternative energy lords will have to work extra hard as the oil lord isn’t somebody who can just be bulldozed over. So, I guess my imagination of a Great Solar Wall – or we can say that we need a Great Alternative Energy Wall in general — will be the solution to our current major world problems.
The major world problems are probably stirred up by the implication of wanting to secure more oil for a growing economy or a developed economy, thus promotes oil scarcity and so on. So I say, let us go for broke! We and the alternative energy lords must go for broke and go for broke fast or else we will not have time to stop the much bigger and more dangerous, oncoming wars for oil. Nobody needs a crystal ball to predict wars can break out in our near future if major developing nations are desperate for more oil. In fact, I should not even use the term developing nations, because it’s too loosely of a term. I should use the term of oil desperate nations. By using the term of oil desperate nations, we can include the developed nations, that just as desperate for oil as other oil desperate nations, to the long list of oil desperate nations. The longer the list of oil desperate nations the more conflicts in the world will play out. It will not be a pretty picture for all!
Want an example of oil desperate nations? China is one. Want another one? India is another one. For your information, population size does matter a lot when it comes down to measure the oil desperation of a nation. This is especially true when a desperate oil nation is growing its economy and modernizing its cities in a big big way. We also have to consider that United States is another oil desperation nation, because the fact is that United States always has the need for more oil so its economy can keep on churning or perhaps growing even more. I fear though, China’s oil desperation level will definitely be much much greater than United States’ oil desperation level. Once again, it’s about the economy growth potential of China and its population size.
I think China is a perfect example of an oil desperate nation. Eventually, China will need much more oil than anyone else in the world to keep its economy grows the way it is now, because China economy at the moment is untouchable in term of GDP growth. You can also say GDP growth isn’t a true measure of a growing economy, and the true measure of a growing economy should be of GDP that was calculated from PPP (Purchasing Power Parity). Well, once again, China also has strong growth in PPP.
You might ask why China will be more desperate for oil than India even though India is almost comparable in population size. Well, I think as long China is able to create a more vibrant economy than India as how China economy is doing so far, oil desperation for China is just going to continue to grow much bigger than India in time. So it seems that India might have less headache than China in the area of oil desperation unless India can outgrow China in economy sometime in the future. Perhaps, GDP, which derived from PPP, can truly show why China is growing much more than India in economy, thus oil desperation for China is greater. To put it bluntly, however wrong I might be I think at the moment oil is tightly tied into every economy of the world. We can also make an observation such as this — both oil and economy do need each other to grow. Sadly to say, I don’t think alternative energy is anywhere near in replacing the dominating position which the oil lord has at the moment.
At the moment, it seems that the oil lord is able to meet the oil demands of the world. Nonetheless, some of us do believe that the oil lord had seen his oil production capacity peaked sometimes back. No matter if this is true though, we humans know one thing, nothing is unlimited. Even the sun itself one day has to die out, and we know no human can survive on planet earth if the sun dies out. So to put this bluntly, human intelligence told us that oil won’t last forever. This is why we should not be so complacent about this. Perhaps, whatever few signs there are that suggest oil production capacity has peaked, we should fear for the worse that will come straight at us in the near future. I think one example of the few signs that suggest we are experiencing peak oil (i.e., oil production capacity has peaked) would be the continuous higher oil prices.
If we are too complacent about oil scarcity in general, we might not be able to leave behind a working energy market in which our children will be able to rely on for their prosperity. This is why I think the alternative energy lords must jump into the rescue and go for broke. If the alternative energy lords go for broke, even things might not pan out the way we hope, at least we might have more choices in alleviating the oil desperation problem.
Have we ever asked ourselves what will happen if the oil lord runs out of oil? If there is such a scenario, I can only imagine the world population of 7 billions people will dwindle rapidly as foods and other major necessities become scarce in the face of not having enough input energy (i.e., input energy which creates the basic necessity outputs that the large human population needs for survival). With hindsight, I think we can safely say that oil has always been the hand that has help increased the world population. It’s 7 billions and counting.